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The Alzheimer's Disease Market Is Forecast to Reach Nearly $12 Billion by 2023, Following the Projected Launch of the First Disease-Modifying Therapies
Date:7/21/2014

BURLINGTON, Mass., July 21, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- Decision Resources Group finds that the market for Alzheimer's disease (AD) therapies will more than triple, reaching nearly $12 billion by 2023, owing largely to the forecasted launch of the first disease-modifying therapies (DMTs), a landmark event in AD treatment. In 2023, these novel premium-priced agents—which include the anti-beta-amyloid monoclonal antibodies solanezumab (Eli Lilly) and gantenerumab (Roche), as well as the BACE inhibitor MK-8931 (Roche/Chugai/MorphoSys)—will earn sales of $7 billion combined in the United States, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom and Japan.

Other key findings from the Pharmacor report entitled Alzheimer's Disease:

  • A new symptomatic alternative: Lundbeck/Otsuka's novel 5HT-6 receptor antagonist, Lu-AE58054, will launch as an adjunctive symptomatic treatment for AD and achieve blockbuster sales within the forecast period, capturing nearly 10 percent of major-market sales in 2023.
  • Population growth: The surging prevalence of AD as the population ages will drive growth across the major markets. We also expect diagnosis and drug-treatment rates to rise modestly in the pre-AD 1-2 years* and mild AD patient segments as DMTs and new diagnostic technologies gradually gain traction.
  • Current agents stay relevant: Today's clinical mainstays deliver modest symptomatic efficacy and do not affect disease progression but will remain the foundation of treatment throughout the forecast period—aided in part by growing generic
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SOURCE Decision Resources Group
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