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S&P Equity Research Issues Health Care Sector Predictions for 2011
Date:1/13/2011

2011, following a fairly robust showing in 2010.  Key growth drivers include a record number of patent expirations on widely prescribed branded drugs, and mounting pressure from government and private industry third-parties for greater use of less expensive generic drugs.  
  • With respect to new drug approvals in 2011, we anticipate the launch of Benlysta, which is being developed by Human Genome Sciences Inc. (HGSI 27 ****) and GlaxoSmithKline plc (GSK 39 ***) for lupus; and telaprevir, whose lead developer is Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX 37 *****), for Hepatitis C.
  • With the Republicans having taken control of the House of Representatives in 2011, we expect various efforts to derail the healthcare reform law.  These could include a repeal effort, which, in our opinion, would be more of a symbolic gesture versus one that is based on reality, as Democrats retained control of the Senate and President Obama has veto power.  Other more likely efforts include withholding funding for the establishment of various programs or restricting expansion of Medicaid.  Opponents have also pursued lawsuits challenging the constitutionality of certain provisions included in the reform bill, particularly the individual mandate requiring the purchase of insurance or paying a fine.

  • About Standard & Poor's Equity Research ServicesAs the world's largest producer of independent equity research, Standard & Poor's licenses its research to global institutions for their investors and advisors.  Standard & Poor's team of experienced U.S., European and Asian equity analysts use a fundamental, bottom-up approach to assess a global universe of multi-asset class securities across industries worldwide.  Follow Standard & Poor's equity analysts' U.S. market commentary each day at http://www.equityresearch.standardandpoors.com/.

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