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Economic Growth Continues In 2014; Manufacturing Growth Expected in 2014; Revenue to Increase 4.4%; Capital Expenditures to Increase 8.0%; Capacity Utilization Currently at 80.3%; Non-Manufacturing Growth Projected in 2014; Revenue to Increase 3.6%;
Date:12/10/2013

g and supply executives are expecting the U.S. dollar will strengthen against the average of foreign currencies listed below in 2014. The average diffusion index for this forecast is 52.1 percent, a decrease of 1.2 percent from the December 2012 forecast average of 53.3 percent for 2013. The U.S. dollar is expected to strengthen against four of the major currencies, weaken against two and remain even with one of the major currencies listed.

U.S. Dollar Will Be:

Euro

Canada

$

British

Pound

Japanese

Yen

Mexican

Peso

Korean

Won

Taiwan

$Stronger than

39%

24%

21%

36%

52%

30%

27%Same as

32%

56%

41%

30%

35%

33%

46%Weaker than

29%

20%

38%

34%

13%

37%

27%Diffusion Index

55.3%

52%

41.1%

51%

69%

46.1%

50%Note: A diffusion index above 50 percent would predict a generally stronger U.S. dollar; below 50 percent, a generally weaker U.S. dollar, with the distance from 50 percent indicative of the predicted strength or weakness.

SUMMARYManufacturing
The manufacturing sector is currently expanding, and the forecast indicates that it will continue to expand in the first half of 2014, and at a faster rate in the second half of 2014.

  • Operating rate is currently at 80.3 percent.
  • Production capacity increased by 5.2 percent in 2013.
  • Production capacity is expected to increase by 6.3 percent in 2014.
  • Capital expenditures increased 12.3 percent in 2013.
  • Capital expenditures are expected to increase 8 percent in 2014.
  • Prices paid increased 0.9 percent in 2013.
  • Overall 2014 prices paid are expected to increase 1.6 percent.
  • Labor and benefit c
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  • SOURCE Institute for Supply Management
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