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Economic Growth Continues In 2014; Manufacturing Growth Expected in 2014; Revenue to Increase 4.4%; Capital Expenditures to Increase 8.0%; Capacity Utilization Currently at 80.3%; Non-Manufacturing Growth Projected in 2014; Revenue to Increase 3.6%;
Date:12/10/2013

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For 2014

Predicted

Dec 2013

For 2013

Predicted

Dec 2012

For 2014

Predicted

Dec 2013Greater

19%

22%

12%

14%Same

60%

62%

79%

78%Smaller

21%

16%

9%

8%Diffusion Index

49%

53%

51.5%

53%Note: A diffusion index above 50 percent would indicate an increase in the inventory-to-sales ratio; below 50 percent, a decrease in the ratio.

OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT 12 MONTHSManufacturing
Survey respondents are more optimistic about the outlook for 2014, when compared to the outlook for 2013 they predicted in December 2012. The 44 percent who report a better outlook is more than the 42 percent response received in December 2012. The resulting diffusion index for the outlook for 2014 is 65.5 percent, compared with 61 percent from one year ago when looking forward to 2013.

Non-Manufacturing
Non-manufacturing survey respondents are more optimistic on their outlook now compared to when they looked ahead in December 2012. The 56 percent who currently report a better outlook is more than the 47 percent who had that outlook in December 2012. Twenty-eight percent expect no change, and 16 percent feel the outlook will be worse over the next 12 months.Outlook — Next 12 MonthsManufacturingNon-ManufacturingPredicted

for 2013

Dec 2012

Predicted

for 2014

Dec 2013

Predicted

for 2013

Dec 2012

Predicted

for 2014

Dec 2013Better

42%

44%

47%

56%Same

38%

43%

31%

28%Worse

20%

13%

22%

16%Diffusion Index

61%

65.5%

62.5%

70%U.S. DOLLAR — Predicted Strength vs. Major Trading Currencies — in 2014 — Manufacturing OnlyManufacturing
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SOURCE Institute for Supply Management
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All rights reserved

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