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Economic Growth Continues In 2014; Manufacturing Growth Expected in 2014; Revenue to Increase 4.4%; Capital Expenditures to Increase 8.0%; Capacity Utilization Currently at 80.3%; Non-Manufacturing Growth Projected in 2014; Revenue to Increase 3.6%;
Date:12/10/2013

ducts; Primary Metals; Printing & Related Support Activities; Machinery; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Transportation Equipment; Computer & Electronic Products; and Paper Products.

Non-ManufacturingISM's Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee members report that non-manufacturing employment has increased slightly (0.4 percent) since April 2013. Looking ahead to 2014, they forecast that employment will increase 2.1 percent by the end of 2014. For 2014, 39 percent of respondents expect higher levels of employment, 13 percent anticipate lower levels, and 48 percent expect their employment levels to be unchanged. The 11 industries anticipating increases in their employment in 2014 — listed in order — are: Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Management of Companies & Support Services; Retail Trade; Finance & Insurance; Other Services; Wholesale Trade; Public Administration; Accommodation & Food Services; Transportation & Warehousing; and Real Estate, Rental & Leasing.Change in Overall EmploymentManufacturingNon-ManufacturingReported for 2013 (since April)

Dec 2013

Predicted for 2014

Dec 2013

Magnitude

of Change

Reported for 2013 (since April)

Dec 2013

Predicted for 2014

Dec 2013

Magnitude

of ChangeHigher

35%

38%

+9.9%

32%

39%

+7.7%Same

39%

48%

NA

42%

48%

NALower

26%

14%

-9.8%

26%

13%

-6.8%Net Average

+1.7%+2.4%

+0.4%+2.1%Diffusion Index

54.5%

62%53%

63%Note: A diffusion index above 50 percent would generally indicate an expectation of higher employment; below 50 percent, an expectation of lower employment.

EXPORT BUSINESS — Predicted Change for N
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SOURCE Institute for Supply Management
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