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Economic Growth Continues In 2014; Manufacturing Growth Expected in 2014; Revenue to Increase 4.4%; Capital Expenditures to Increase 8.0%; Capacity Utilization Currently at 80.3%; Non-Manufacturing Growth Projected in 2014; Revenue to Increase 3.6%;
Date:12/10/2013

; Retail Trade; and Public Administration.Prices – Predicted Changes Between End of 2013 and April 2014ManufacturingNon-ManufacturingPredicted

Dec 2013

Magnitude

of Change

Predicted

Dec 2013

Magnitude

of ChangeHigher

49%

+4.2%

59%

+3.8%Same

30%

NA

29%

NALower

21%

-4.3%

12%

-4.1%Net Average+1.2%+1.8%PRICES — Predicted Changes Between End of 2013 and End of 2014Manufacturing
Respondents predict a net average increase in prices paid of 1.6 percent between December 2013 and December 2014, indicating they expect prices to increase an additional 0.4 percent during the period of May 2014 through December 2014. Fifty-eight percent of respondents expect an average price increase of 4.6 percent for the full year of 2014, while 22 percent expect an average reduction of 4.7 percent. The remaining 20 percent expect no change in their average prices paid for the year 2014. The 13 industries expecting to receive increases above the predicted average of 1.6 percent by the end of 2014 — listed in order — are: Petroleum & Coal Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Textile Mills; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Primary Metals; Printing & Related Support Activities; Wood Products; Furniture & Related Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Chemical Products; Transportation Equipment; and Paper Products.

Non-Manufacturing
For all of 2014, non-manufacturing supply management executives expect their prices to increase an average of 1.9 percent. Sixty-three percent of respondents expect increases averaging 4.2 percent, 13 percent anticipate prices to drop an average of 5.9 percent, and 24 percent foresee no change in prices during the next year. The nine industries expecting greater than the 1.9 percent average price increase by the end of 2014
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SOURCE Institute for Supply Management
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