Navigation Links
Prediction of malaria epidemics possible!

According to scientist a new computer model has been developed that can predict the occurrence of en epidemic of malaria. The intensity whether it would be mild or severe can be told five months before it occurs. // This would give ample time for preventive or emergency measures to be done in advance.

The control of malaria is a top priority for international health officials these days.

The problem is greatest in sub-Saharan Africa. And it kills millions of people worldwide each year.

According to Simon Mason, a climatologist with the Earth Institute at Columbia University in New York, "Most people joke about us not getting the weather forecast right over the next few days, so it's even harder for us to forecast the climates if we're going to forecast the climates three, four months in advance.”

Columbia's Earth Institute collaborated with European scientists to develop the DEMETER project.

DEMETER is a computer ensemble of all the available climate models around Europe. The models are then used to make weather predictions up to four months ahead of time in tropical countries, where malaria is endemic.

As said by Tim Palmer leader of scientists at the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts in England, which devised DEMETER,"When things are predictable, all of the models give the same answer. They are consistent within each other. When we are entering a very unpredictable or chaotic period, then the models diverge in what they say. They give different answers and then we can't be sure of what's going to happen."

Scientists say the model was more successful at predicting very low epidemic years, which it did 85 percent of the time.

Researchers are already starting to use DEMETER to help countries in southern Africa predict whether they should brace for a malaria outbreak.

This revolutionary discovery appears in the Journal Nature.

Related medicine news :

1. Prediction Of Disease In The Future Questioned
2. Blood Test May help Heart Prediction
3. A New Technique For Prediction Of Adult Height
4. Prediction of a Collective Sneeze
5. New Tool Improves Prediction of Stroke Risk
6. New Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Models Developed for Women
7. Feeding channel created by malaria parasite - a new target for malaria treatments
8. Hundred million dollar gift for malaria institute
9. Misleading anti-malarial drug
10. Garlic fights malaria and cancer
11. New initiative launched to fight malaria by repelling mosquitoes
Post Your Comments:

(Date:11/30/2015)... ... November 30, 2015 , ... During the National ... caregivers and held two webinars on topics of ‘Medical and Palliative Care Decisions,’ ... at . , With a loved one's diagnosis of mesothelioma, the ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... ... November 30, 2015 , ... ... . The directory is specialized and only includes chiropractic clinics in the US. ... competent and trustworthy alternative health practitioner when back pain sets in. When people ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... ... November 30, 2015 , ... In an effort ... the Word of Life Christian Church of Flint, MI, hosted a family-oriented evening ... 1.25 ton pile of candy dubbed “Candy Mountain”. , A Forever Recovery, a ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... VA (PRWEB) , ... November 30, 2015 , ... ... Foundation kicked off its annual fundraising campaign to raise funds for its research, ... raises approximately 10% of the organization’s annual funding. , The Mesothelioma Applied Research ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... ... November 30, 2015 , ... The ... in Dallas, TX, on January 29 and 30, 2016. The course welcomes dental ... of their practices, to learn how to better succeed in the modern dental ...
Breaking Medicine News(10 mins):
(Date:11/30/2015)... 30, 2015 Diplomat Pharmacy, Inc. (NYSE: ... the Detroit Free Press as a Top Workplace , ... to work for in 2015. ... 100 winners annually, based on employee surveys rating company leadership, ... Workplaces are based solely on employee feedback. The survey is ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... , November 30, 2015 global cell ... of US$6.1 bn to US$11.3 bn by 2022 at a CAGR ... is expected to grow from its 2013 value of US$6.1 bn ... --> Transparency Market Research has announced the release of ... According to the report, titled ,Cell Culture Market - Global Industry ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... and BOCA RATON, Fla. , ... the Commercialization of Public Research (the Institute) announced ... KynderMed , a medical device start-up company with ... new company creation based on publicly-funded research, and bridges ... Florida -based universities and research institutions. ...
Breaking Medicine Technology: