Navigation Links
Using math model, NJIT professor names MVP and Cy Young award contenders
Date:10/15/2008

NJIT's Bruce Bukiet, a mathematician who has applied mathematical modeling techniques to elucidate the dynamics of run scoring in baseball, is now applying his methods to ascertain the players most deserving of major league baseball's prestigious 2008 Most Valuable Player (MVP) and Cy Young awards. Bukiet, a popular NJIT math professor, dives annually into such terrain in part for his love of the game, but also for his love of teaching and math.

"Baseball can be a terrific learning tool," said Bukiet. "It demonstrates how math can be used in life." This year for the first time high school junior Kevin Fritz, of Hillsborough helped formulate Bukiet's picks. Bukiet met Fritz earlier this year through one of NJIT's many pre-college programs. Thanks in part to Bukiet, Fritz took special honors in Intel's 2008 Science and Engineering Fair.

This is the eighth year that Bukiet has used his model to determine whether it is worthwhile to wager on games each day during the baseball season. His picks (posted on www.egrandslam.com) have led to (slightly) positive results for six of the past eight years. Regular updates on the chances of each team winning the Championship Series and the World Series are posted at: m.njit.edu/~bukiet/baseball/playoffs08.htm.

For the American League (AL), Bukiet said, Toronto Blue Jay pitcher Roy Halladay deserves to win both the MVP and the Cy Young Award because his performance would have contributed 4.5 extra wins to a team of otherwise all average players. That is, "Halladay would have taken a team that was 81-81 and single-handedly made it an 85.5-76.5 team," Bukiet explained. "The key criterion of the model is that the player most deserving of these awards should be the player who would have contributed the greatest number of extra wins to that of a team of average players at each position."

Bukiet's model places Milton Bradley of the Texas Rangers, whose performance would have contributed 4.3 extra wins to an otherwise average team, as the top hitter in the AL, and runner-up for MVP honors.

New York Yankee third baseman Alex Rodriguez, Cleveland Indian pitcher Cliff Lee and outfielder Carlos Quentin of the Chicago White Sox round out the top five MVP candidates in the AL, contributing 4.1, 4 and 3.5 wins respectively to an otherwise average team. After Halladay and Lee, Mariano Rivera of the New York Yankees, Ervin Santana of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and Jonathan Papelbon of the Boston Red Sox round out the top five AL pitching performances.

In the National League (NL), Derek Lowe of the Los Angeles Dodgers deserves the Cy Young award. "His performance would have garnered 3.4 extra wins," said Bukiet. "The Philadelphia Phillies' Cole Hamels, San Francisco Giants' Tim Lincecum, Arizona Diamondbacks' Dan Haren and New York Mets' Johan Santana also numbered among his NL top 5 pitchers with performances worthy of 3.3, 3.2, 2.9 and 2.8 extra wins, respectively.

Albert Pujols (St. Louis Cardinals) is Bukiet's Most Valuable Player in the Major Leagues. "His performance would have led an otherwise average team to nearly 87 wins," said Bukiet. While Pujols would have added 5.8 extra wins to the team, other remarkable players included Chipper Jones (Atlanta Braves), Hanley Ramirez (Florida Marlins), Lance Berkman (Houston Astros) and Matt Holliday (Colorado Rockies). All would have contributed 5.3, 5.1, 5 and 3.9 extra wins, respectively.

Bukiet's method studies each player's annual season statistics. He then applies a Markov process approach to modeling production of runs in baseball games. Bukiet first presented this mathematical model in 1997 in Operations Research. His method predicts how many games a team should win per season, the expected influence of trades and whether to wager on a game. Bukiet considered all players who placed in the top five in their league in at least one of the categories: hits, home runs, runs batted in, stolen bases, batting average and slugging percentage for hitters; wins, saves, earned run average, walks plus hits per inning pitched (WHIP) and batting average against (for pitchers).


'/>"/>

Contact: Sheryl Weinstein
sheryl.m.weinstein@njit.edu
973-596-3436
New Jersey Institute of Technology
Source:Eurekalert

Related medicine news :

1. Clinicians in Netherlands Treat Lung Cancer Patients Using New RapidArc Radiotherapy Technology from Varian Medical Systems
2. Blacks at Higher Risk for Brain Lesions Causing Stroke
3. PARI Pharma Unveils Closed System Using eFlow Technology at Medical Plastics Conference
4. Zoom and Pan with Mike and Mary using Instant Demo screen recorder v7.0
5. Catholic Health Initiatives Makes Major Gift to Support Affordable Housing in the Midwest
6. UCLH to Discuss Using Business Process Management to Meet Government Referral-To-Treatment Mandate at IRM BPM Europe 2008
7. Mt. Sinai Services Toronto Becomes an Xceed Authorized Gene-Expression Service Provider Using Ziplex(R) System
8. John McCains Health Care Plan Based on Same Policies That Are Causing Wall Street Meltdown
9. SeniorHousingJobs.com Celebrates Its 5th Anniversary
10. Kids Fever Time Cut Using Ibuprofen First
11. Urologists report success using robot-assisted surgery for urinary abnormality
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
(Date:6/26/2016)... (PRWEB) , ... June 26, 2016 , ... PawPaws ... a new product that was developed to enhance the health of felines. The formula ... , The two main herbs in the PawPaws Cat Kidney Support Supplement ...
(Date:6/25/2016)... ... ... Austin residents seeking Mohs surgery services, can now turn to Dr. Jessica Scruggs ... for medical and surgical dermatology. , Dr. Dorsey brings specialization to include Mohs surgery, ... Micrographic Surgery completed by Dr. Dorsey was under the direction of Glenn Goldstein, MD, ...
(Date:6/25/2016)... ... ... As a lifelong Southern Californian, Dr. Omkar Marathe earned his Bachelors in ... School of Medicine at UCLA. He trained in Internal Medicine at Scripps Green Hospital ... at the UCLA-Olive View-Cedars Sinai program where he had the opportunity to train in ...
(Date:6/24/2016)... (PRWEB) , ... June 24, 2016 , ... A recent ... that most people are unfamiliar with. The article goes on to state that individuals ... also many of these less common operations such as calf and cheek reduction. The ...
(Date:6/24/2016)... ... 2016 , ... The Pulmonary Hypertension Association (PHA) learned during ... two significant new grants to support its work to advance research and patient ... recognizing patients, medical professionals and scientists for their work in fighting pulmonary hypertension ...
Breaking Medicine News(10 mins):
(Date:6/24/2016)...  Collagen Matrix, Inc., ("Collagen Matrix") the driving ... collagen and mineral based medical devices for tissue ... Messer has joined the company as Vice ... growing portfolio of oral surgery, neurosurgery, orthopaedic and ... the Collagen Matrix executive team as an accomplished ...
(Date:6/24/2016)... June 24, 2016   Bay Area Lyme ... Dean Center for Tick Borne Illness , ... Rehabilitation, MIT Hacking Medicine, University of California, Berkeley, ... announced the five finalists of Lyme Innovation ... More than 100 scientists, clinicians, researchers, entrepreneurs, and ...
(Date:6/24/2016)... -- Research and Markets has announced ... Applications, Technologies, Forecasts" report to their offering. ... Smart Skin, Structural Health Monitoring, Composite Smart Structures, ... involves electronic and/or electrical components and circuits that ... such as vehicle bodies or conformally placed upon ...
Breaking Medicine Technology: