Navigation Links
Swine Flu May Not Be Any Deadlier This Fall: Experts
Date:8/11/2009

Review of prior epidemics refutes theory that virus gets more severe

TUESDAY, Aug. 11 (HealthDay News) -- The theory that a relatively mild outbreak of a new flu virus in the spring predicts a more severe, deadly outbreak in the fall isn't borne out by a look back at prior epidemics, two U.S. experts say.

"Pandemic history suggests that changes neither in transmissibility nor in pathogenicity are inevitable," concluded Drs. David Morens and Jeffery Taubenberger, infectious disease experts at the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), part of the National Institutes of Health.

In an article published in the Aug. 12 issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association, the experts take on a much-publicized theory that's helped stoke fears about a resurgence of swine flu in the Northern Hemisphere this fall.

The so-called "herald wave" theory stems from the belief that the deadly 1918-19 flu pandemic began with a milder spring wave of illness, which got more deadly as the virus spread throughout the summer, picking up lethal mutations. The 1918-19 "Spanish Flu" is estimated to have killed between 20 million and 40 million people worldwide.

However, while flu outbreaks were noted in Europe in the spring of 1918, no viruses from these outbreaks "have yet been identified," Morens and Taubenberger noted. And the actual course of the 1918 pandemic flu varied greatly around the world -- most areas experienced no "spring wave" at all, and the timing of successive waves changed between regions and even between countries, the researchers said.

The two experts also broadened their review to look at 14 major flu epidemics that have swept the globe since the beginning of the 16th century.

"In doing so, it is difficult to find evidence of 1918-like waves herald waves, or other such phenomena," they noted. The most recent flu pandemics, occurring in 1957 and 1
'/>"/>

Copyright©2009 ScoutNews,LLC.
All rights reserved  

0

GOOD

Page: 1 2 3

Related medicine news :

1. Aethlon Medical Initiates Swine Flu Testing Program
2. School Closures May Not Be Necessary When Swine Flu Strikes
3. Rapid Swine Flu Test Misses Many Infections
4. NCCN Updates Infection Guidelines to Include Information About H1N1 Virus (Swine Flu)
5. 100+ Nurses to Rally in SF Wed. to Demand Stronger Swine Flu Safety Protections: California Hospitals Remain Unprepared Despite First Nurse Death
6. Consumer Reports Swine Flu Survival Kit Prepares Consumers for Potentially Tough Flu Season This Fall
7. K-State Researcher, Collaborators Study Virulence of Pandemic H1N1 Virus; Work at K-State Would Protect Pig Industry If the Virus Jumps to Swine Populations
8. Play it Straight with Swine Flu, AA Travel Insurance Advises
9. Swine Flu Advice from Confused.com
10. Allergists Urge Asthmatics to Get Swine and Seasonal Flu Shots Following CDC Vaccine Advisory Committee Recommendations
11. Pregnant Women, Health-Care Workers Top Swine Flu Vaccine Candidates
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
Related Image:
Swine Flu May Not Be Any Deadlier This Fall: Experts
(Date:5/23/2013)... (PRWEB) May 23, 2013 Former United ... speaker for Acadian 's annual Paramedic Luncheon. ... Lafayette Convention Center, Cheney praised Acadian's medics, saying, "I ... to participate in awarding the Paramedic of the Year ... there is a lot of competition within a company ...
(Date:5/23/2013)... Spring and summer have always been motivation for ... , the city between Memphis and Nashville? In the last ... centers has transformed the growing area into one of the ... city of vibrant, young professionals you are going to see ... White, owner of The Fight Shop, one of the city’s ...
(Date:5/23/2013)... On April 29th, 2013, UV Technologies ... numbers of H7N9 cases and deaths. The headline read, " ... Will Subside in Northern Hemisphere as Available Daylight Increases .” ... been reported. , Quoting Kevin McGuire, president of UV ... flowers budding in the spring and leaves changing in the ...
(Date:5/23/2013)... (PRWEB) May 23, 2013 Parker Waichman ... rights of victims injured by defective medical devices and ... Matthew J. McCauley has been appointed Co-Lead Counsel in ... IUD Products Liability Litigation (Case 7:13-md-02434-CS). The Order, which ... Liaison Counsel are to submit their proposal for the ...
(Date:5/23/2013)... 2013 EnvirOasis, the leader in energy ... market is pleased to announce its new line of ... products. EnvirOasis has been a market leader in ... kits and has recently brought to market a full ... Diode) is energy efficient lighting technology which produces a ...
Breaking Medicine News(10 mins):Health News:Acadian Ambulance Honors Paramedic of the Year at Annual Luncheon 2Health News:Grass Roots Wellness Initiative Builds Muscle in Jackson, Tennessee 2Health News:Grass Roots Wellness Initiative Builds Muscle in Jackson, Tennessee 3Health News:Grass Roots Wellness Initiative Builds Muscle in Jackson, Tennessee 4Health News:UV Technologies Bold Prediction on H7N9 in China Comes True, New Cases End Without Aid of Flu Vaccine 2Health News:UV Technologies Bold Prediction on H7N9 in China Comes True, New Cases End Without Aid of Flu Vaccine 3Health News:U.S. District Court Appoints Parker Waichman LLP’s Matthew J. McCauley to Leadership Role in Mirena IUD Litigation 2Health News:EnvirOasis Lighting Announces Energy Star and Design Lights Consortium LED Products 2
... could slow prostate cancer , , WEDNESDAY, April 29 (HealthDay ... citrus flavor, might help ward off painful calcium deposits ... which is known to inhibit calcium formation, according to ... presented Sunday at the American Urological Association annual meeting, ...
... over next 20 years, report warns , , WEDNESDAY, April 29 ... in the number of new cancers over the next two ... of minorities, a new report predicts. , Rates of ... among the population generally and by 67 percent among people ...
... /PRNewswire/ -- The Senate Finance Committee is ... that the Senate Finance Committee has shown a commitment ... health care system and is considering adopting many of ... We also appreciate that the Committee is considering several ...
... Speaker Nancy Pelosi spoke on the House floor this morning ... year 2010. The resolution passed the House by a vote of ... Senate later today. It does not require the signature of the ... it is indeed an honor to call Mr. Spratt a colleague. ...
... The Jonsson Cancer Center Foundation at UCLA ... Cure , May 1, 2009 at the Beverly Wilshire ... Dana Walden will receive the Gil Nickel Humanitarian Award, ... Barbara Fairchild, Editor-in-Chief, Bon Appetit Magazine; Jon Holman, President, ...
... 29 It is with great privilege that Avery ... Krieger, M.D., F.A.C.S. as Chief Clinical Liaison.Dr. Krieger,s expertise ... was Chief of Neurological Surgery at the University ... Based on that initial experience, Dr. Krieger went on ...
Cached Medicine News:Health News:Some Diet Sodas May Ward Off Kidney Stones 2Health News:Some Diet Sodas May Ward Off Kidney Stones 3Health News:Minorities to Bear Brunt of Rise in U.S. Cancer Cases 2Health News:Minorities to Bear Brunt of Rise in U.S. Cancer Cases 3Health News:Pelosi: Budget is a Blueprint for the Future 2Health News:Pelosi: Budget is a Blueprint for the Future 3Health News:Pelosi: Budget is a Blueprint for the Future 4Health News:UCLA's Jonsson Cancer Center Foundation 'Taste for a Cure' Honors Twentieth Century Fox Television Chairmen Dana Walden and Gary Newman 2Health News:Dr. Abbott J. Krieger Joins Avery Biomedical Devices, Inc. as Chief Clinical Liaison 2
(Date:5/23/2013)... , May 23, 2013  Net Medical Xpress ... telemedicine market, announced today the company has signed a ... staffing company based in Huntsville, AL ... specializes in the staffing and recruitment of telemedicine physicians. ... of the final agreement, which is expected by June ...
(Date:5/23/2013)... May 23, 2013  CAS Medical Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: ... non-invasive patient monitoring, today announced that Thomas M. ... at the 2 nd Annual Marcum MicroCap Conference on ... New York City . The ... the Estate 10 room and will be available via a ...
(Date:5/23/2013)... NEW YORK , May 23, 2013  Intercept ... clinical stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and ... liver diseases, such as primary biliary cirrhosis, today announced ... and Chief Executive Officer, will present at the Deutsche ... Boston on Wednesday, May 29, 2013 ...
Breaking Medicine Technology:Net Medical Xpress Announces Acquisition of Telemedicine Staffing Company 2Net Medical Xpress Announces Acquisition of Telemedicine Staffing Company 3CASMED to Present at the 2nd Annual Marcum MicroCap Conference 2
... Calif., Sept. 23 Preclinical data of a ... blood pressure) was presented Tuesday, September 21st, at ... Washington, DC, by Christopher D. Owens, MD, MSc, ... Endovascular Surgery, University of California, San Francisco. The ...
... that a new market research report is available ... Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets ... THIS REPORT CONTAINS A focus on ... devices and total disc replacement (TDR) are becoming the ...
Cached Medicine Technology:Promising New Therapy for Drug-Resistant Hypertension Presented at Interventional Cardiology Meeting in Washington, D.C. 2Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 2Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 3Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 4Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 5Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 6Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 7Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 8Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 9Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 10Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 11Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 12Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 13Reportlinker Adds Spinal Surgical Devices: Technologies and Global Markets 14
... Laboratories is a national reference laboratory and ... and development. ARUP offers an extensive test ... tests in clinical and anatomic pathology. Owned ... clients include more than half of the ...
... reference laboratory and a worldwide leader in ... an extensive test menu of highly complex ... anatomic pathology. Owned by the University of ... half of the nation's university teaching hospitals ...
... reference laboratory and a worldwide leader in ... an extensive test menu of highly complex ... anatomic pathology. Owned by the University of ... half of the nation's university teaching hospitals ...
... ARUP Laboratories is a national reference ... laboratory research and development. ARUP offers an ... unique medical tests in clinical and anatomic ... ARUP Laboratories' clients include more than half ...
Medicine Products: