Strategic Analytics Reports Stress Test Ac...( SANTA FE N.M. May 1 /- Strategic Anal...),Health

SANTA FE, N.M., May 1 /PRNewswire/ -- Strategic Analytics Inc., the leading provider of stress testing and forecasting solutions for retail lenders, today disclosed that its LookAhead(TM) software was used successfully by U.S. banks to complete stress tests for federal regulators. Strategic Analytics software and services are used by 8 of the top 10 banks with the largest U.S. consumer loan portfolios, according to American Banker.

Several major banks told Strategic Analytics that using LookAhead(TM) software to estimate losses under the government-mandated Supervisory Capital Assessment Program scenarios yielded valuable insights in an efficient and robust analytical process. "LookAhead enabled us to predict the impact of SCAP macroeconomic scenarios on losses in our retail credit portfolios with high efficiency," a credit risk executive said. "Moreover, we could easily incorporate into the stress tests useful measures of originations quality and other key factors that traditional methodologies can't handle effectively."

"Customers' success in using LookAhead to complete SCAP stress tests demonstrates the unique value of Strategic Analytics software," said Joseph L. Breeden, President and Chief Operating Officer. "LookAhead was specifically designed to improve retail lenders' stress testing and forecasting capabilities. It has had proven success analyzing mortgage and consumer credit portfolios for customers around the globe."

In published research, Breeden has observed that traditional approaches to stress testing fail to accurately quantify the dynamics that drive portfolio performance and that both macroeconomic and quality factors are critical to explaining the current crisis and its future evolution. In 2005, LookAhead analysis of industry-wide U.S. mortgage data showed that the quality of new originations was deteriorating even though the economy was relatively unchanged. By 2006 and 2007, the new lo
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