Navigation Links
Scotland's economy challenged by population trends
Date:12/6/2007

Scotlands population is changing in ways that could transform the face of the country. While the latest figures show a recent upswing in births and migration to Scotland and a projected rise in the population over the next 25 years, in the long term Scotlands population (in common with many other developed nations) is predicted to decline and age markedly. This trend and its key implications are outlined in a new publication, Scotlands demographic trends: insights from Scotlands Demography Research Programme Findings. This booklet highlights research findings from a two-year research initiative, funded jointly by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) and the Scottish Government.

In the absence of significant in-migration, Scotlands population is set to decline in the long term and these projections have important implications for the economy, public services, the labour market and the quality of everyday life.

In 2005, the ESRC and Scottish Government launched the 300,000 Scotlands Demography Research Programme to investigate three key aspects of Scotlands demography: migration, fertility and the impact of an ageing population. Alongside the new publication, Scotlands demographic trends: insights from Scotlands Demography Research Programme, a one-day seminar to disseminate key developments from the initiative will be held in the Point Hotel in Edinburgh on 7 December 2007.

Some of the key findings include:

  • Modelling techniques using Government Actuary Department 2004 based projections point to the adverse economic impact of a shrinking and ageing population including slower growth in GDP and rising export price index. If fertility and mortality follow the pattern suggested in this projection, annual net in-migration of 20,000 is needed to prevent the Scottish economy shrinking.

  • Contrary to previous thought, in the last few years Scotland has recorded clear net in-migration gains (i.e. more people migrating to Scotland than migrating from Scotland). Maintaining or improving this current balance of migration could prove key to addressing the challenges posed by Scotlands ageing population and projected population decline. New survey evidence suggests that significant scope exists to improve graduate retention in Scotland and to encourage Scots and non-Scots to work in Scotland.

  • Fertility is Scotland is lower than elsewhere in the UK. Research shows women in Scotland leave longer gaps between first and second/subsequent children and have smaller families. But Scottish women dont set out to have smaller families than the rest of the UK. So differences in fertility appear to be responses to immediate circumstances (economic, for example) rather than longer-term intentions.

More than 20 researchers based in five academic institutions across Scotland took part in the ESRC/ Scottish Government-funded Scotlands Demography Research Programme.


'/>"/>

Contact: Alexandra Saxon
alexandra.saxon@esrc.ac.uk
01-793-413-032
Economic & Social Research Council
Source:Eurekalert

Related medicine news :

1. Wai Wai choose conservation economy for traditional Amazon territory
2. EPA Plan to Evade Required Cuts in Mercury Pollution Challenged in Court by States, Tribes, Health and Environmental Groups
3. Expanding Prevalent Population Will Drive Dramatic Growth for the Asthma Drug Market in China
4. Burgeoning Population of Hepatitis C Virus Patients in Need of Second- and Third-Line Treatment Options
5. Cancer stem cell subpopulation drives metastasis of human pancreatic cancer
6. Planning for 2020: increasing elderly population poses huge challenges in cancer care
7. Migrating Tick Populations Pose Year-Round Disease Threat for People and Pets
8. Those With Disabilities as Well as Aging Population Throughout Country Now Have Access to Thousands of Specialized Products
9. Anesthesia Drugs Market to Grow to $4.3 Billion by 2011 as Populations and Uses for Anesthesia Increase
10. Population Covered by Dental Benefits Increases
11. The widening mortality gap between people with rheumatoid arthritis and the general population
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
(Date:5/26/2016)... ... 2016 , ... There are nearly 14.5 million people living with and beyond ... Sunday, June 5, 2016, communities around the world will gather to recognize these cancer ... Cancer Survivors Day® is an annual worldwide Celebration of Life that is held on ...
(Date:5/26/2016)... Los Angeles, CA (PRWEB) , ... May 26, 2016 , ... In an effort to ... Snapchat videos available to both Snapchat users and those who do not use the app. ... available on his new page, Dr. Mohebi Live . , Dr. Mohebi says, ...
(Date:5/26/2016)... (PRWEB) , ... May 26, 2016 , ... North ... May 13 at Blackhorse Golf Club in Cypress. With the help of community partners, ... that restores, empowers, and renews hope for wounded service members and their families through ...
(Date:5/26/2016)... ... May 26, 2016 , ... Power Systems, a leading developer ... Instructor Certification Course in Stoughton, Massachusetts. The course was led by Power Systems’ ... 8 hour interactive course to qualify participants as certified PowerWave trainers. , ...
(Date:5/26/2016)... ... May 26, 2016 , ... The introduction of our professional athletes coincides with ... ™”. , “We are proud to introduce Meghan Klingenberg, defender and World ... Brian Quick, wide receiver for Los Angeles who was a second round selection in ...
Breaking Medicine News(10 mins):
(Date:5/25/2016)... , May 25, 2016  According to Kalorama ... $381 billion in 2015.  Though these are challenging ... of opportunity for success for companies that remain ... search of new growth prospects medical device companies ... research and development (R&D) than do companies in ...
(Date:5/25/2016)... 25, 2016 As illustrated by ... this month, the numbers and momentum of cannabis in ... into the billions, more research and development push the ... State of Legal Marijuana Markets Report  from from ArcView ... much of the increase in sector is attributed to ...
(Date:5/25/2016)... May 25, 2016 Digital Health Dialog, ... it by the US Patent and Trademark Office ... includes proprietary processes for electronic opt-­in and processing ... wellness programs, HIPAA compliance and otherwise. ... "Our technology allows for individuals ...
Breaking Medicine Technology: