Navigation Links
Scotland's economy challenged by population trends
Date:12/6/2007

Scotlands population is changing in ways that could transform the face of the country. While the latest figures show a recent upswing in births and migration to Scotland and a projected rise in the population over the next 25 years, in the long term Scotlands population (in common with many other developed nations) is predicted to decline and age markedly. This trend and its key implications are outlined in a new publication, Scotlands demographic trends: insights from Scotlands Demography Research Programme Findings. This booklet highlights research findings from a two-year research initiative, funded jointly by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) and the Scottish Government.

In the absence of significant in-migration, Scotlands population is set to decline in the long term and these projections have important implications for the economy, public services, the labour market and the quality of everyday life.

In 2005, the ESRC and Scottish Government launched the 300,000 Scotlands Demography Research Programme to investigate three key aspects of Scotlands demography: migration, fertility and the impact of an ageing population. Alongside the new publication, Scotlands demographic trends: insights from Scotlands Demography Research Programme, a one-day seminar to disseminate key developments from the initiative will be held in the Point Hotel in Edinburgh on 7 December 2007.

Some of the key findings include:

  • Modelling techniques using Government Actuary Department 2004 based projections point to the adverse economic impact of a shrinking and ageing population including slower growth in GDP and rising export price index. If fertility and mortality follow the pattern suggested in this projection, annual net in-migration of 20,000 is needed to prevent the Scottish economy shrinking.

  • Contrary to previous thought, in the last few years Scotland has recorded clear net in-migration gains (i.e. more people migrating to Scotland than migrating from Scotland). Maintaining or improving this current balance of migration could prove key to addressing the challenges posed by Scotlands ageing population and projected population decline. New survey evidence suggests that significant scope exists to improve graduate retention in Scotland and to encourage Scots and non-Scots to work in Scotland.

  • Fertility is Scotland is lower than elsewhere in the UK. Research shows women in Scotland leave longer gaps between first and second/subsequent children and have smaller families. But Scottish women dont set out to have smaller families than the rest of the UK. So differences in fertility appear to be responses to immediate circumstances (economic, for example) rather than longer-term intentions.

More than 20 researchers based in five academic institutions across Scotland took part in the ESRC/ Scottish Government-funded Scotlands Demography Research Programme.


'/>"/>

Contact: Alexandra Saxon
alexandra.saxon@esrc.ac.uk
01-793-413-032
Economic & Social Research Council
Source:Eurekalert

Related medicine news :

1. Wai Wai choose conservation economy for traditional Amazon territory
2. EPA Plan to Evade Required Cuts in Mercury Pollution Challenged in Court by States, Tribes, Health and Environmental Groups
3. Expanding Prevalent Population Will Drive Dramatic Growth for the Asthma Drug Market in China
4. Burgeoning Population of Hepatitis C Virus Patients in Need of Second- and Third-Line Treatment Options
5. Cancer stem cell subpopulation drives metastasis of human pancreatic cancer
6. Planning for 2020: increasing elderly population poses huge challenges in cancer care
7. Migrating Tick Populations Pose Year-Round Disease Threat for People and Pets
8. Those With Disabilities as Well as Aging Population Throughout Country Now Have Access to Thousands of Specialized Products
9. Anesthesia Drugs Market to Grow to $4.3 Billion by 2011 as Populations and Uses for Anesthesia Increase
10. Population Covered by Dental Benefits Increases
11. The widening mortality gap between people with rheumatoid arthritis and the general population
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
(Date:8/21/2017)... (PRWEB) , ... August 21, 2017 , ... ... with events taking place all over the country. , Outdoor running increases exposure ... runners are at an increased risk of melanoma, and only half may be ...
(Date:8/21/2017)... CA (PRWEB) , ... August 21, 2017 , ... The ... how exactly are we supposed to get things done in a healthy way these ... And, they’re launching a crowdfunding campaign on August 28 to introduce Deskcise Pro™– the ...
(Date:8/21/2017)... ... ... The American Hospital Association (AHA) has elected Claire Zangerle, Chief Nurse Executive ... of Trustees for a three-year term beginning January 1, 2018. , The ... are committed to the improvement of health in their communities. Founded in 1898, the ...
(Date:8/21/2017)... CA (PRWEB) , ... August 21, 2017 , ... ... health services business of UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH), has made a multi-million dollar ... responders affected by post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and traumatic brain injuries (TBI) over ...
(Date:8/20/2017)... ... August 20, 2017 , ... A total solar eclipse will occur across the ... as the moon moves between the sun and Earth. This rare event will be magnificent ... can help keep you safe on the road during the total eclipse of the sun. ...
Breaking Medicine News(10 mins):
(Date:8/2/2017)... and BENTON, Ky. , Aug. 2, 2017   Marshall County ... its environmental services (ES) team to proactively reduce the risk of hospital-acquired infections (HAIs). The ... disinfection robot that uses UVC light energy to kill deadly pathogens such as C. ... Tru-D SmartUVC ... Tru-D in action in ...
(Date:8/2/2017)... a next-generation full-service pharmacy, has announced the launch of its ... Washington D.C. metropolitan area. CaryRx aims to ... through the convenience of its patient-friendly mobile app. Prescriptions can ... to any location in D.C. ... Washington D.C. ," says Areo Nazari , ...
(Date:7/31/2017)...  Diplomat Pharmacy, Inc. (NYSE: DPLO), has been named one ... by Crain,s Detroit Business . The annual ... three-year revenue growth. This year,s edition measures growth from 2013 ... the complete list, visit crainsdetroit.com/awards/fast_50/2017 .  ... said Phil Hagerman , CEO and chairman of Diplomat. ...
Breaking Medicine Technology: