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Mexican paradox: While opinion surveys overestimate abortions 10-fold, abortion mortality clearly decreases
Date:12/6/2012

This press release is available in Spanish and French.

A collaborative study conducted in Mexico by researchers from the West Virginia University-Charleston (US), Universidad Popular Autnoma del Estado de Puebla (Mxico), Universidad de Chile and the Institute of Molecular Epidemiology of the Universidad Catlica de la Santsima Concepcin (Chile), revealed that opinion surveys used by researchers from the Guttmacher Institute overestimated figures of induced abortion in the Federal District of Mexico (Mexico DF) up to 10-fold. The research recently published in the International Journal of Women's Health highlights that the actual figure of induced abortion in Mexico DF has not surpassed 15,000 per year according to the official registry. "During 2009, the number of induced abortions in Mexico DF was 12,221, which directly contradicts the figure of 122,355 induced abortions estimated by opinion surveys for the same year, resulting in a 1000% overestimation" pointed out Elard Koch, the Chilean epidemiologist leading the research.

The research group directly compared the estimations of induced abortion reported by the Guttmacher Institute and the actual figures reported by the GIRE (from the Spanish acronym Grupo de Informacin en Reproduccin Electiva), institution that maintains epidemiological surveillance of abortion in Mexico DF since its decriminalization in 2007. The researchers detected that discrepancies found between estimated and actual figures are likely due to the subjective and potentially biased nature of opinion surveys, which have estimated figures as large as 1,024,424 induced abortions per year for the entire Mexican country. "This is a perfect example demonstrating that methodologies used for estimating figures of induced abortion and related indicator
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Contact: Lea M. Parks
lea.parks@melisainstitute.com
MELISA Institute
Source:Eurekalert

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