Navigation Links
Living to 100 May Be Tougher Than You Think
Date:2/18/2012

By Randy Dotinga
HealthDay Reporter

FRIDAY, Feb. 17 (HealthDay News) -- Decades-old assumptions about the odds of reaching very old age may be wrong, which could put 100 out of reach for many seniors, a new study finds.

At issue is how likely you are to die each year as you age.

A team of researchers now believe that death rates continue to rise at the same rate after age 80, instead of flattening out a bit.

The findings could lead to new estimates of life span, affecting insurance companies and government predictions of how many centenarians will be around in the future. They could even affect calculations about how long retirement income will last.

"The risk that people will outlive their savings may be exaggerated," said Leonid Gavrilov, a research associate at the Center on Aging at the University of Chicago and co-author of the study with his wife, Natalia.

Another expert, Scott Lynch, an associate professor of sociology who studies demographics at Princeton University in New Jersey, cautioned that the new research still needs confirmation.

For decades, demographic researchers have believed that your risk of death doubles every eight years after about age 20 or 30, Gavrilov said. But researchers thought that that upward slope flattens after the age of 80. People would still die eventually, of course, but their risk of death didn't seem to rise as much over time as when they were younger. Once you got to 80, reaching 100 wasn't such a stretch, it seemed.

One theory is that people who make it to 80 are just sturdier. After all, they've made it that far in life without dying.

It was thought the flattening of the upward curve might get even flatter past 100, Lynch explained.

"The speculation has been that at some age, human mortality might level off and flatten out, so the risk of you dying at 110 is no different at 111 or 112. But we don't have reliable data at those
'/>"/>

Copyright©2010 ScoutNews,LLC.
All rights reserved  

Page: 1 2

Related medicine news :

1. 4.5 million Americans living with total knee replacement
2. Odds of living a very long life lower than formerly predicted
3. Living Together May Be Mentally Healthier Than Marriage: Study
4. Americans Living Longer, Report Finds
5. Nanometer-scale growth of cone cells tracked in living human eye
6. More Americans Living to 90, U.S. Census Finds
7. Adult living donor liver transplants safe, study finds
8. Rx for Heart Patients: Healthier Living, Medication
9. Fighting fire with fire: Vampire bacteria has potential as living antibiotic
10. Living with dementia and making decisions
11. Living donor liver transplantation improves survival over deceased donor transplants
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
Related Image:
Living to 100 May Be Tougher Than You Think
(Date:10/30/2014)... of data from an institutional patient registry on ... control, 79 percent of tumors, for medically inoperable, ... from 2003 to 2012, according to research presented ... Thoracic Oncology. The Symposium is sponsored by the ... Society for Radiation Oncology (ASTRO), the International Association ...
(Date:10/30/2014)... WHAT: , A mathematical model developed by NIH grantees ... daily to prevent HIV infection via vaginal sex, whereas ... HIV infection via anal sex. This finding helps explain ... or PrEP, in women failed to show efficacy. Participants ... trials of Truvada and tenofovir (another antiretroviral) for HIV ...
(Date:10/30/2014)... Graphics, coding, typography and search engine optimization– ... of web design and require thorough knowledge to create ... to create a website can be as easy as ... reviews and Facebook posts all accumulate on a multiple ... evolution of how a business can develop a website," ...
(Date:10/30/2014)... (PRWEB) October 30, 2014 Five months ... Hodgkinson Street LLC announces new branding and a ... Street Mepham . After David Mepham’s promotion to name ... brand and website to include Mepham’s name and better ... malpractice and mediation firm, the decision to implement new ...
(Date:10/30/2014)... 2014 Radio listeners who indicate use ... the impact of traditional radio commercials and have overwhelmingly ... to influence a purchasing decision. , Those are some ... conducted by radio marketing company CRN International. The research ... results of respondents who indicated they have purchased or ...
Breaking Medicine News(10 mins):Health News:Sustained local control for medically inoperable, early stage lung cancer patients 2Health News:Sustained local control for medically inoperable, early stage lung cancer patients 3Health News:Model by NIH grantees explains why HIV prevention dosing differs by sex 2Health News:Facebook Websites In Thirty-Seconds 2Health News:Hodgkinson Street Mepham Rebrands 2Health News:CRN Research On Radio Messaging Effectiveness Now Available In Four Specific Product Categories 2Health News:CRN Research On Radio Messaging Effectiveness Now Available In Four Specific Product Categories 3
... The Lupus Foundation of,America (LFA) is ... in grant funding,for basic, clinical, or translational ... fatal autoimmune disease. The purposes of the,studies ... novel,approaches; and develop experimental prototypes. Grants will ...
... Council (ACC) today sent a letter to FDA ... review of the safety of bisphenol A,in food ... study regarding bisphenol A is well,documented and well ... the safety and use of polycarbonate plastic and ...
... Mass., April 17 Inverness Medical,Innovations, Inc. (Amex: ... point-of-care,diagnostic products, today announced that it will release ... 2008. The Company will also host a,conference call ... date to,discuss these results and other corporate matters. ...
... They,re more disruptive than long hours, night shifts or job ... Common job-related problems such as conflicts with bosses or co-workers ... insecurity to cause poor sleep. , That,s the conclusion of ... from two surveys of about 2,300 U.S. adults who were ...
... Pennsylvania School of Medicine are developing a novel approach ... as amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), or Lou Gehrig,s disease, ... mutations have been found in a disease protein called ... of frontotemporal dementia (FTD). , We,ve created a ...
... KIRKLAND, Wash., April 17 For health reasons, Americans,in ... than they think,according to Denise Gott, Vice Chairperson of ... long term care insurance agencies.,"The sudden need for long ... "and they,re vulnerable on two fronts, not just one, ...
Cached Medicine News:Health News:Lupus Foundation of America Seeks Funding Proposals for Research Studies on Childhood Lupus, Nervous System Involvement, and More 2Health News:ACC Calls on FDA to Update Review of Bisphenol A 2Health News:ACC Calls on FDA to Update Review of Bisphenol A 3Health News:Inverness Medical Innovations Schedules Conference Call for 10:00 a.m. ET April 24, 2008 to Discuss First Quarter 2008 Results 2Health News:Work Conflicts Can Do a Job on Your Sleep 2Health News:Penn researchers find potential in yeast for selecting Lou Gehrig's disease drugs 2Health News:Today's Working Adults Face Long Term Care 'Double Whammy,' Says Denise Gott, Spokesperson for LTC Financial Partners, LLC 2
(Date:10/30/2014)... Oct. 30, 2014  Misonix, Inc. (NASDAQ: ... designs, manufactures and markets innovative therapeutic ultrasonic instruments for ... that it will report financial results for the first ... The Company has scheduled a conference call that same ... to review the results. Interested parties ...
(Date:10/30/2014)... , Oct. 30, 2014 Boston Scientific ... participate in the 2014 Credit Suisse Annual Healthcare Conference ... , AZ.  Dan Brennan , executive vice ... about the company beginning at approximately 8:00 a.m. PT ... A live webcast of the presentation and question and ...
(Date:10/30/2014)... -- Nektar Therapeutics (Nasdaq: NKTR ) will announce ... 30, 2014 on Thursday, November 6, 2014, after the ... president and chief executive officer, will host a conference ... Eastern Time (ET)/2:00 p.m. Pacific Time (PT). ... of the conference call can be accessed through a ...
Breaking Medicine Technology:Misonix, Inc. To Report First Quarter Fiscal Year 2015 Financial Results On Thursday, November 6, 2014 2Boston Scientific To Participate In 2014 Credit Suisse Annual Healthcare Conference 2Nektar to Announce Financial Results for the Third Quarter 2014 on Thursday, November 6, 2014, After Close of U.S.-Based Financial Markets 2
... Aug. 20, 2011 /PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ -- 3SBio Inc. (NASDAQ: ... leading China-based biotechnology company focused on researching, developing, ... the annual general meeting of shareholders of 3SBio ... at 10:00 a.m., Shenyang time, at our executive ...
... As Medicare expands a controversial "competitive" bidding program for home ... Congress have gone on record to oppose that program citing ... and impact on local jobs. "There,s a reason ... 244 economists and auction experts , and 145 members ...
Cached Medicine Technology:3SBio Inc. to Hold 2011 Annual General Meeting on September 20, 2011 2Myths and Realities About Medicare's Competitive Bidding Program for Home Medical Equipment and Services 2Myths and Realities About Medicare's Competitive Bidding Program for Home Medical Equipment and Services 3Myths and Realities About Medicare's Competitive Bidding Program for Home Medical Equipment and Services 4Myths and Realities About Medicare's Competitive Bidding Program for Home Medical Equipment and Services 5
... reference laboratory and a worldwide leader in ... an extensive test menu of highly complex ... anatomic pathology. Owned by the University of ... half of the nation's university teaching hospitals ...
... ARUP Laboratories is a national reference ... laboratory research and development. ARUP offers an ... unique medical tests in clinical and anatomic ... ARUP Laboratories' clients include more than half ...
... is a national reference laboratory and a ... development. ARUP offers an extensive test menu ... in clinical and anatomic pathology. Owned by ... include more than half of the nation's ...
... ARUP Laboratories is a national reference laboratory ... research and development. ARUP offers an extensive ... medical tests in clinical and anatomic pathology. ... Laboratories' clients include more than half of ...
Medicine Products: