Date:10/24/2007

ing who their contacts were - feed mills, slaughter houses and other farms for example. This level of detail helps us predict areas and industry sectors at greatest risk.

The model also provides analysis of government policy, such as the implementation of control zones. This strategy aims to limit the movement of birds as well as trace potential contacts where transmission of the disease is more likely. The team found that this strategy was beneficial in reducing the chance of very large outbreaks to almost zero.

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Contact: Samantha Martin samantha.martin@liv.ac.uk 01-517-942-248 University of Liverpool Source:Eurekalert

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