Navigation Links
Large avian flu outbreaks more likely to involve duck meat industry, experts find
Date:10/24/2007

Scientists at the University of Liverpool have found that 73% of avian flu outbreaks in the UK would not spread beyond the initial infected farm, but larger outbreaks are more likely to involve the duck meat industry.

A team from the Universitys Faculty of Veterinary Science and Department of Mathematical Sciences were approached by the Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) to produce an avian flu model based on unique levels of detail including contact points between farms.

The study - based on the Asian strain of the virus - revealed that areas at most risk from disease were East Anglia, Lincolnshire and South Yorkshire, largely due to the numbers of duck meat companies in these localities. The team believe that duck meat was more likely to cause large outbreaks of avian flu because ducks often do not show signs of the disease and as such delays diagnosis and control of the infection.

Scientists used a computer model to simulate millions of outbreaks of avian flu, so that even rare outbreak scenarios could be observed in order to further understanding of how the disease might spread across the UK.

Dr Rob Christley from the Universitys Faculty of Veterinary Science, explains: Our model is unique in the level of detail regarding contact points between farms. We modelled four contact routes: local transmission, where infection is spread in the area due to wind and wild animals; transmission via delivery of feed where lorries may pick up the virus at one farm and carry it to another; transmission via slaughterhouse lorries and transmission via company workers, where personnel from a company may carry the virus to other farms within the same company as they go about their daily work.

We have also classified 12,000 farms in the UK according to the species they raise and the purpose of the farm; for example is it a chicken meat farm, chicken egg farm or duck meat" The team modelled each farm detailing who their contacts were - feed mills, slaughter houses and other farms for example. This level of detail helps us predict areas and industry sectors at greatest risk.

The model also provides analysis of government policy, such as the implementation of control zones. This strategy aims to limit the movement of birds as well as trace potential contacts where transmission of the disease is more likely. The team found that this strategy was beneficial in reducing the chance of very large outbreaks to almost zero.


'/>"/>

Contact: Samantha Martin
samantha.martin@liv.ac.uk
01-517-942-248
University of Liverpool
Source:Eurekalert

Related medicine news :

1. Just standing next to a large person can be bad for ones image
2. Tobacco and alcohol connected to larger health problems
3. New technique for heart enlargement
4. 3 die, 500 sickened in nations largest hepatitis A outbreak Associated Press
5. Two drugs Mays Be Better Than One For Prostate Enlargement
6. Risks Of An Enlarged Heart
7. The Link Between Larger Birth Weight And Cancer Risk
8. Enlarged waistline may predict atherogenesis for postmenopausal women
9. Worlds Largest Cord Blood Bank to be started in India
10. India Has The Oldest And Largest Collection Of Preserved Mosquitoes – Mosquito Museu
11. Fear Of Dengue Epidemic Looms Large: Fever Kills Five in Pakistan
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
(Date:1/21/2017)... ... 21, 2017 , ... Salveo for life, a company that distributes an effervescent ... United States as part of its presence to expand its market reach. , Using ... the productions of nasty toxins as a result of drinking alcohol, eliminating those toxins ...
(Date:1/21/2017)... ... 21, 2017 , ... Northern California Medical Associates (NCMA) is ... multi-specialty medical group. The dermatology practice provides general dermatologic treatment, outpatient surgery, clinical ... this excellent dermatology practice to our group’s medical services,” explains NCMA CEO, Ruth ...
(Date:1/20/2017)... ... ... A new partnership between Goodwill® and Roadie, Inc. aims to make it easier ... couches to dressers and bicycles. Roadie — the national on-the-way delivery network — will ... through February 28th. , “January is an exciting time when resolutions are made ...
(Date:1/20/2017)... ... , ... Lice Troopers, the lice removal company based in South Florida, has ... holiday season. , “It happens every year around this time,” says owner, Arie ... which is the head-to-head gateway that lice need to spread.” , As children return ...
(Date:1/20/2017)... ... January 20, 2017 , ... Vitamin Well ... VW+ 002. The drinks have been produced in collaboration with Zlatan Ibrahimovic and ... your workout. , After a successful launch in Sweden last year, the next ...
Breaking Medicine News(10 mins):
(Date:1/19/2017)... , Jan. 19, 2017 Conference Call and Webcast ... VNDA ) today announced it will release results for the fourth ... closes. ... will host a conference call at 4:30 PM ET on Wednesday, ... and full year 2016 financial results and other corporate activities. To ...
(Date:1/19/2017)... LONDON , January 19, 2017 Incretin ... Sympathomimetics and Others The global anti-obesity drugs ... the first half of the forecast period and CAGR of 38.7% ... expected to grow at a CAGR of 32.8% from 2016 to ... million in 2021, and $24,063 million in 2027. ...
(Date:1/19/2017)... BOCA RATON, Fla. , Jan. 19, 2017 ... ), a medical device company specializing in the ... conditions, such as keloids, with superficial radiation therapy, ... quarter and full year 2016 financial results on Thursday, ... The Company will hold a conference call ...
Breaking Medicine Technology: