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Applying 'supply and demand' business principles to treat infectious diseases worldwide
Date:11/17/2008

ely, an oversupply can lead to drugs "going bad" as they sit on the shelf past their expiration dates. This is why forecasting demand is vital.

Dr. Cohen will explore the following points at the ASTMH Annual Meeting, December 7-11 in New Orleans:

  • The anti-malarial world, from farmers up to drug producers, was disorganized and inefficient because there was little understanding of the demand for treatments. Past forecasts, including by the World Health Organization, vastly overstated expected demand;

  • The first-ever robust and scenario-based global forecast of ACT demand, which shows that demand will at least double over the coming four years and could grow by as much as 327 percent to over 400 million treatment packs if a global ACT subsidy is launched;

  • The forecast helped to support the signing of agreements with suppliers to reduce the volatility in artemisinin supply, reduce drug prices, and help ensure access to high-quality, low-cost drugs.


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Contact: Michael Ettlemyer
mettlemyer@environics-usa.com
203-325-8772 x14
American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
Source:Eurekalert

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