Navigation Links
A new computer modeling program can help hospitals prepare for the worst

A new and novel computer modeling platform developed through intensive, multidisciplinary collaboration at New York University can help hospitals and cities to be more prepared for catastrophic public health scenarios, according to an article published in the American Medical Association's Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness journal.

The article, "A Novel Approach to Multihazard Modeling and Simulation," is based on the authors' test of the NYU computerized disaster simulation framework known as "Plan C" with a hypothetical malicious sarin release in several Manhattan locations. With the input of city demographic information, hospital resource and public transit data, the results showed that under certain circumstances, up to 22,000 individuals might become exposed, leading to 178 intensive care unit admissions.

The article's lead author is Dr. Silas Smith of New York University's School of Medicine, who prepared it with Ian Portelli, PhDc, MSc CRA, Giuseppe Narzisi, PhDc, Lewis S. Nelson, MD, Fabian Menges, Cand.Ing., E. Dianne Rekow, DDS, PhD, Joshua S. Mincer, MD, PhD, Bhubaneswar Mishra, PhD, MS. and Lewis R. Goldfrank, MD all of New York University.

Plan C is an innovative tool for emergency managers, urban planners, and public health officials to prepare and evaluate optimal plans for response to an array of hypothetical urban catastrophic situations. It was developed as part of the Large Scale Emergency Readiness (LaSER) Project at NYU's Center for Catastrophe Preparedness and Response (CCPR).

Plan C uses a powerful, large-scale computational, multi-agent based disaster simulation framework involving as many as thousands of variables or agents from existing hospital beds and emergency department services to hospital surge capacity and behavioral and psychosocial characteristics to anticipate public response to an attack. It has been able to simulate the complex dynamics of emergency responses in such scenarios as a chemical release, food poisoning, and smallpox.

According to the article, implementing disaster plans within 30 minutes compared to two hours of an incident diminished mortality and waiting times and reduced the number of patients who were severely affected. GIS portability to other urban locations was demonstrated.

"An agent-based modeling approach," the authors write, "provides a mechanism to assess complex individual and system wide effects in rare events."

Currently, the model is being adapted to model pandemic influenza and the authors aim to continue expanding this model in their efforts to further preparedness efforts.


Contact: Robert Polner
New York University

Related medicine news :

1. FluxData, Inc. Introduces New Multispectral Camera with Embedded PC104 Computer
2. Computers Causing Injuries in the Home
3. Computer-related injuries on the rise
4. Too Much Computer Gaming Can Steal Your Sleep
5. Quest Diagnostics India Recognized as Laureate by the Computerworld Honors Program
6. MIQS Software Again Recognized by the Computerworld Honors Program; Wins Top Award
7. Computer modeling shows strategies to rein in epidemics need to be retooled for rural populations
8. UCF researcher developing computer program to detect, measure brain tumors
9. Strategies to Rein in Epidemics Need to be Retooled for Rural Populations, Say K-State Engineers Using Computers to Model Disease Outbreaks in Rural Areas
10. Computer simulation captures immune response to flu
11. Patients reveal willingness to trade hands-on medical care for computer consultations
Post Your Comments:
(Date:11/30/2015)... ... , ... Cycling, running, and walking are regular Sunday activities for many South ... 28, 2016. , That’s when the 7th annual ANF Group Tour de Broward ... and families at Joe DiMaggio Children’s Hospital. , The community fundraiser, sponsored ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... ... November 30, 2015 , ... ... ingredient list of its hemorrhoid ointment to its website. , “Our goal is ... people suffering from hemorrhoids. Adding the comparison chart and ingredient list allows our ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... ... November 30, 2015 , ... At Grand Dental PC, their priority is ... When you have dental problems, you need to turn to a dentist who listens ... treat your needs, a friendly dentist who counsels you on the best ways to ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... ... ... Dr. Seth D. Margulies specializes in orthodontics and is based in Perth ... the best available orthodontic experience in the area. Dr. Margulies has met all ... the branch of dentistry that specializes in the diagnosis, prevention, and treatment of dental ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... , ... November 30, 2015 , ... ... new study by UPMC and KingMed Diagnostics researchers. Their ... years found that consultation with UPMC pathologists resulted in significantly altered treatment plans ...
Breaking Medicine News(10 mins):
(Date:11/30/2015)... Nov. 30, 2015  Novartis will demonstrate the strength ... th American Society of Hematology (ASH) Annual Meeting. ... as well as supportive care, including key findings in ... cell therapies. The ASH Annual Meeting will be held ... Novartis Oncology . "We will be presenting ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... and BOSTON , November 30, 2015 ... develop potential new medicines directed at up to 10 ... --> PFE ) to research and develop ... protein-coupled receptor (GPCR) targets across multiple therapeutic areas. ... drug discovery and development company and wholly-owned subsidiary of ...
(Date:11/30/2015)... , November 30, 2015 ... or the "Company") announced today that it was informed by ... and Drug Safety (MFDS) has approved its Exablate Neuro ... --> --> Insightec,s Exablate ... treatment alternative that combines two technologies: Focused Ultrasound, which ...
Breaking Medicine Technology: