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£3M awarded for climate model to predict disease outbreak
Date:4/16/2010

mongst the human and animal population during periods of heavy rain, when flood water mosquitoes flourish and lay their eggs. If this rainfall occurs unexpectedly during the dry season, when cattle are kept in the villages rather than out on the land, the mosquitoes can infect the animals at the drinking ponds. Humans can then contract the disease by eating infected animals. Working with partners in Africa, we can bring this information together to build a much more accurate picture of when to expect epidemics."

Dr Morse continued: "We will look at historical and contemporary climate data and combine it with disease incidence information, as well as integrating monthly and seasonal forecasts into a single seamless forecast system that will allow disease risk projections to be made beyond the conventional predictable time-limit. We will also look at data for vector-borne diseases and integrate them into the forecasting model. All this information will be fed into a decision support system to be developed with decision makers on national health issues."


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Contact: Samantha Martin
samantha.martin@liv.ac.uk
44-151-794-2248
University of Liverpool
Source:Eurekalert

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