Navigation Links
Scientists develop malaria forecasting tool to predict disease risk

A new tool to predict epidemics of malaria up to five months in advance has been developed by a scientist at the University of Liverpool.

The model uses predictions of climate variability to indicate the level of risk of an epidemic up to five months in advance of the peak malaria season ?the earliest point at which predictions have ever been made. The model will assist doctors and health care providers in preventing and controlling the disease.

Malaria is one of the world's deadliest diseases, killing more than one million people every year, as well as infecting a further 500 million worldwide. The mosquito-borne illness is endemic in several regions globally, but is most acute in Africa, home to an estimated 90 per cent of all cases.

Dr Andy Morse from the Department of Geography and colleagues from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting; Columbia University, New York and the Ministry of Health in Botswana, based their early-warning model on population vulnerability, rainfall and health surveillance data and then used forthcoming season forecasts for rainfall to predict unusual changes in the seasonal pattern of disease in Botswana. The team based their study on Botswana as its climate makes it susceptible to malaria epidemics.

Dr Morse said: "The risk of an epidemic in tropical countries such as Botswana increases dramatically shortly after a season of good rainfall ?when the heat and humidity allow mosquito populations to thrive. By using a number of climate models, we were able to compose weather predictions for such countries, which could then be used to calculate the severity of an epidemic, months before its occurrence."

The team created a prediction system using seven, state-of-the-art, global climate models which produce weather forecasts up to six months in advance. The system allows researchers to assess the probable effect of weather conditions on a malaria epidemic.

The team's
'"/>

Source:University of Liverpool


Page: 1 2

Related biology news :

1. Scientists ID molecular switch in liver that triggers harmful effects of saturated and trans fats
2. Scientists Replicate Hepatitis C Virus in Laboratory
3. Scientists detect probable genetic cause of some Parkinsons disease cases
4. Scientists find missing enzyme for tuberculosis iron scavenging pathway
5. Scientists seek answers on what activates deadly anthrax spores
6. Yale Scientists Find MicroRNA Regulates Ras Cancer Gene
7. Scientists collaborate to assess health of global environment
8. Scientists decipher genome of fungus that can cause life-threatening infections
9. Scientists discover the cellular roots of graying hair
10. Scientists rid stem cell culture of key animal cells
11. Scientists develop new color-coded test for protein folding
Post Your Comments:
(Date:10/16/2014)... Although monocultures can be cultivated efficiently, they are ... water caused by monoculture cultivation is becoming increasingly ... principal crop form and are regarded as the ... production – quite wrongfully, finds Bernhard Schmid, an ... advocates a novel form of agriculture and forestry. ...
(Date:10/15/2014)... the pandemic risk from strains of influenza virus increases ... ourselves to become complacent that the most substantial threats ... , Influenza pandemics arise when a new virus strain ... immunity – spreads in the human population. There have ... the worst of which – the 1918 Spanish Flu ...
(Date:10/15/2014)... , Oct. 15, 2014 NXT-ID, Inc. (NASDAQ: ... company focused on the growing mobile commerce market releases photos and ... Times Square on Monday October 13 th . ... David Tunnel and angel investor Mr. Chad A. Verdi ... CEO of NXT-ID thanked his investors and employees "for their work ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):Plant communities produce greater yield than monocultures 2Plant communities produce greater yield than monocultures 3Scientists 'must not become complacent' when assessing pandemic threat from flu viruses 2Photo Release: NXT-ID Inc. Rings Opening Bell of the NASDAQ Stock Market October 13th 2Photo Release: NXT-ID Inc. Rings Opening Bell of the NASDAQ Stock Market October 13th 3
... fertilizer by a chemical process that involves high temperature ... ambient temperature and pressure. The process, called nitrogen fixation, ... plant life. , A research team from Utah State ... biological process, carried out by microbes that contain the ...
... major science prize was today awarded to a researcher who is ... hear someone in a noisy place, such as a party or ... in these situations. , Not being able to hear a person's ... the most common problems for Britain's nine million people with a ...
... that may be able to prevent future food-borne illness, ... contaminated spinach. , Together, these technologies rapidly detect and ... a laser to detect and identify many types of ... as expensive as current technology. , A second ...
Cached Biology News:Nature's process for nitrogen fixation caught in action 2Train your brain to hear your friends at a party 2Train your brain to hear your friends at a party 3Train your brain to hear your friends at a party 4Researchers develop technologies to devour food pathogens 2Researchers develop technologies to devour food pathogens 3
(Date:10/22/2014)... The Americas Inorganic Refrigerants Market report defines ... with analysis and forecast of revenue. , Browse ... Market report, to get an idea of the ... of the segmentation in the Americas inorganic refrigerants ... figures. , http://www.micromarketmonitor.com/market/americas-inorganic-refrigerants-4191654241.html , Inorganic ...
(Date:10/22/2014)... 2014 Involution Studios , a ... a new infographic, Understanding Ebola . The ... designed, easy to follow informative tool for anyone wanting ... symptoms and prevention. , "As the news has spread ... Ebola outbreak represents not only a healthcare crisis with ...
(Date:10/22/2014)... (PRWEB) October 22, 2014 Grace Century, ... and healthcare projects, announces the addition of Dr. ... to its advisory team. Dr. Siddiqui will provide further ... , A graduate of University College Medical School ... degreed in medicine in 2001. With further certification as ...
(Date:10/22/2014)... , Oct. 22, 2014   Synthetic Biologics, Inc. ... pathogen-specific therapies for serious infections and diseases, announced today ... a Notice of Allowance for a composition of matter ... C. difficile program, SYN-004. This is Synthetic Biologics, ... the U.S. and adds to the Company,s extensive ...
Breaking Biology Technology:The Americas Inorganic Refrigerants Market is estimated to grow to $71.6 million by 2018 - New Report by MicroMarket Monitor 2The Americas Inorganic Refrigerants Market is estimated to grow to $71.6 million by 2018 - New Report by MicroMarket Monitor 3Involution Studios' Ebola Infographic Provides Key Disease Information and Statistics at a Glance 2Dr. Yousef Siddiqui joins the Grace Century Advisory Team 2Synthetic Biologics Announces Allowance of Key U.S. Composition of Matter Patent for C. difficile Program 2Synthetic Biologics Announces Allowance of Key U.S. Composition of Matter Patent for C. difficile Program 3Synthetic Biologics Announces Allowance of Key U.S. Composition of Matter Patent for C. difficile Program 4
... NUREMBERG , Germany ... and Pie,Medical Imaging BV have joined forces to make ... cardiovascular procedures.,This capability is the result of Ziehm Imaging,s ... the Netherlands ), a leading,developer of quantitative analysis software ...
... ... capacity than TSK-GEL SP-5PW resin for purification of insulin and other peptides and small proteins. ... King of Prussia, PA ... recently announced the introduction of a new line of TSK-GEL SP-3PW (30) resins ...
... [Brown University] Creating catalysts that can operate efficiently and ... fuel-cell technology from the lab bench to the assembly line. ... researchers, but platinum has two major downsides: It is expensive, ... In a new study, chemists at Brown University report a ...
Cached Biology Technology:Ziehm Imaging and Pie Medical Imaging Announce Cooperation 2Ziehm Imaging and Pie Medical Imaging Announce Cooperation 3Ziehm Imaging and Pie Medical Imaging Announce Cooperation 4Tosoh Bioscience Introduces TSK-GEL SP-3PW (30), a Higher-Capacity Resin for the Purification of Insulin and Other Therapeutic Peptides and Small Proteins 2Brown chemists report promising advance in fuel-cell technology 2
... of next-generation features into a small-footprint design, ... flexible laboratory solutions. It puts every aspect ... dispensing, and integrations into a single, ... as it is efficient and economical. The ...
... The mini incubation trays are ... to screen antigens that have ... Each tray has eight 10.5 ... that accommodate strips cut from ...
... The GenomeLab GeXP Genetic Analysis System ... scalable, multiplexed PCR*. The systems patented ... standard multiplexed PCR analysis to just a ... GeXP delivers more genes per reaction and ...
... Kit is a simple high performance method ... Removes detergents without significant dilution of protein ... on the Detergent-OUT Spin column and collect ... are suitable for removing detergent from a ...
Biology Products: