Navigation Links
Map predicting spread of avian flu

The 2003 epidemic of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) in the Netherlands is the only recent epidemic of HPAI in the developed world. Gert-Jan Boender and colleagues have examined the data from this outbreak and produced a model which can predict the probability of infection from one farm to another; the 'transmission kernel'. They also identify high-risk areas in the Netherlands and analyze various control strategies, concluding that in these regions an epidemic can only be brought to an end by massive culling of susceptible farms.

For avian influenza, the analyses show that there are two poultry-dense areas in The Netherlands where epidemic spread is possible, one in the central region and one in the south, close to the German and Belgian border (see attached figure). The authors suggest local control measures are unlikely to be able to halt an unfolding epidemic in these areas.

The paper, published in the Open Access journal PLoS Computational Biology, arrives at these conclusions through a computational (or mathematical) modeling method, an approach which has already proved its worth in the analysis of infectious diseases such as the 2001 foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. The method can estimate the key parameters which determine the spread of highly transmissible animal diseases between farms. These risk maps identify geographic areas in which a given intervention strategy fails to control the spread of the disease between farms. "The risk map concept is an instrument suitable for analyses of epidemic control options both during crisis and in peacetime" says Boender.


'"/>

Source:Public Library of Science


Page: 1

Related biology news :

1. Mayo Clinic: Gene expression profiling not quite perfected in predicting lung cancer prognosis
2. Anti-bacterial additive widespread in U.S. waterways
3. HIV-1 spread through six transmission lines in the UK
4. Reservoirs may accelerate the spread of invasive aquatic species, researchers say
5. Undesirable expatriates: Preventing the spread of invasive animals
6. Nanobacteria in clouds could spread disease, scientists claim
7. Rabies spread speeds up
8. New understanding of cell movement may yield ways to brake cancers spread
9. VCU Massey Cancer Center study shows enzyme linked to spread of breast cancer cells
10. Industrial contaminants spread by seabirds in High Arctic, new Canadian study shows
11. Past droughts geographically widespread in the West, according to tree-ring data
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
TAG: Map predicting spread avian flu

(Date:3/20/2015)... 20, 2015 Research and Markets ... the "India Sensors Market Forecast and Opportunities ... The sensor market is projected to grow at ... Consumer electronics, automotive, industrial and healthcare sectors are ... country. In addition, adoption of MEMS technology in ...
(Date:3/20/2015)... --Research and Markets ( http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/vkzvcs/iris_biometrics ) has announced ... Business Report" report to their offering. This ... Thousands. The report provides separate comprehensive analytics for the US, ... Europe , Asia-Pacific , ... America . Annual estimates and forecasts are ...
(Date:3/17/2015)... March 17, 2015 MedNet Solutions ... in clinical study management systems, is pleased to ... at ARENA,s Outsourcing in Clinical Trials Southeast conference ... provides an excellent forum for MedNet to showcase ... affordable software-as-a-service (SaaS) eClinical technology platform. ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):India Sensors Market Forecast and Opportunities 2020 - STMicroelectronics held the largest share in 2014 2India Sensors Market Forecast and Opportunities 2020 - STMicroelectronics held the largest share in 2014 3Iris Biometrics - Global Strategic Business Report 2015: System & Network Access Control - A Robust Market Opportunity in the Offing 2Iris Biometrics - Global Strategic Business Report 2015: System & Network Access Control - A Robust Market Opportunity in the Offing 3Iris Biometrics - Global Strategic Business Report 2015: System & Network Access Control - A Robust Market Opportunity in the Offing 4Iris Biometrics - Global Strategic Business Report 2015: System & Network Access Control - A Robust Market Opportunity in the Offing 5Connect With MedNet Solutions At Outsourcing In Clinical Trials Southeast 2
... Spanish . Innovative, kid-friendly strategies ... skillsare emerging from scientific studies funded by the Agricultural ... Johnston, John P. Foreyt and Chermaine Tyler and their ... in which many of their Texas middle-school participants achieved ...
... in the 1990s the hole in Earth,s protective ... acid rain worse, scientists are reporting. Their study ... once used in aerosol spray cans, air conditioners, refrigerators, ... Physical Chemistry A , a weekly publication. Jeffrey ...
... Scientists at L,Oral, in hot pursuit of the hidden elements of ... "beauty is only skin deep." In fact, their work indicates that ... is much deeper. It actually is linked to molecules within the ... (C&EN), ACS, weekly newsmagazine. C&EN Senior Editor Lisa M. ...
Cached Biology News:Kids lose pounds, gain fitness in Houston study 2
(Date:4/17/2015)... 17, 2015 CIO Review ( http://www.cioreview.com ... 20 Most Promising Pharma and Life Science Technology Solution ... global compliance software platform for life sciences companies. ... a panel of experts and members of CIO Review’s ... MediSpend Platform has been on our radar for some ...
(Date:4/17/2015)... 17, 2015  Guggenheim Securities, the investment banking and ... hiring of William Tanner as a Managing ... Tanner will start work at Guggenheim in May 2015 ... office. "Bill brings a wealth of biotech ... experienced and highly acclaimed healthcare team," said Matthew ...
(Date:4/17/2015)... 17, 2015 Global Stem Cells ... Stem Cell Summit 2015 April 27 - 29, 2015 ... developments in all areas of stem cell research including ... cells and regenerative medicine. , The conference will ... well as translational research in stem cell therapies, regenerative ...
(Date:4/17/2015)... BellBrook Labs announced today that they ... powerful Orthogonal Pooled Screening (OPS) Platform developed and ... Lankenau Institute for Medical Research (LCGC) in Wynnewood, ... successful drug discovery outcomes using far more efficient ... available nowhere else, coupled to a state-of-the-art compound ...
Breaking Biology Technology:MMIS Chosen by CIO Review as Top 20 Most Promising Pharma and Life Science Technology Solution Providers 2015 2Guggenheim Securities Hires Biotech Analyst William Tanner in Expansion of Healthcare Coverage 2Global Stem Cells Group To Join GTCbio Stem Cell and Regenerative Medicine Summit in Boston, April 27-29, 2015 2Global Stem Cells Group To Join GTCbio Stem Cell and Regenerative Medicine Summit in Boston, April 27-29, 2015 3BellBrook Labs and Lankenau Institute Partner to Accelerate Drug Discovery using Orthogonal Pooled Screening 2
... Pa., Oct. 2 /PRNewswire/ - Respironics, Inc. (Nasdaq:,RESP) ... the outstanding shares,of Apollo Light Systems, Inc., a ... light therapy systems for melatonin suppression and,circadian rhythm ... company is located in American Fork, Utah and ...
... Oct. 2 Monitorforhire.com, the,fastest source for ... even faster. The company has added a ... respond immediately to work requests via,PDA or ... Scott Freedman, president of monitorforhire.com says that ...
... Oct. 2 454 Life Sciences, a Roche,company, ... to,conduct large scale genetic re-sequencing in hundreds of ... responses to a widely,prescribed class of drug. The ... sufficient genetic variation can be identified and,validated to ...
Cached Biology Technology:Respironics Acquires Apollo Light Systems, Inc., Expands into Circadian Rhythm Device-Based Therapy Market 2Respironics Acquires Apollo Light Systems, Inc., Expands into Circadian Rhythm Device-Based Therapy Market 3New Pharmacogenomic Approach: 454 Life Sciences and Perlegen to Collaborate in Drug Response Sequencing Study 2New Pharmacogenomic Approach: 454 Life Sciences and Perlegen to Collaborate in Drug Response Sequencing Study 3
Porcine parvovirus and mycoplasma tested. Contains 0.5 g/L of trypsin (1:250) and 0.2 g/L of EDTA4Na in Hanks' Balanced Salt Solution without CaCl2 MgCl2 6H2O and MgSO4 7H2O. Contains phenol red....
...
...
... P Set from different Cynomolgus monkey ... organs maybe available upon request. ... from the whole set, and pay ... All Dr. P Set products ...
Biology Products: