Navigation Links
Statistics research could build consensus around climate predictions
Date:2/19/2014

ave differently for each of these regions. Data from each region was considered individually so that the model could be fit to each region separately.

"Our understanding of how much temperatures are changing is reflected in all the data available to us," says Heaton. "For example, one data source might suggest that temperatures are increasing by 2 degrees Celsius while another source suggests temperatures are increasing by 4 degrees. So, do we believe a 2-degree increase or a 4-degree increase? The answer is probably 'neither' because combining data sources together suggests that increases would likely be somewhere between 2 and 4 degrees. The point is that that no single data source has all the answers. And, only by combining many different sources of climate data are we really able to quantify how much we think temperatures are changing."

While most previous such work focuses on mean or average values, the authors in this paper acknowledge that climate in the broader sense encompasses variations between years, trends, averages and extreme events. Hence the hierarchical Bayesian model used here simultaneously considers the average, linear trend and interannual variability (variation between years). Many previous models also assume independence between climate models, whereas this paper accounts for commonalities shared by various modelssuch as physical equations or fluid dynamicsand correlates between data sets.

"While our work is a good first step in combining many different sources of climate information, we still fall short in that we still leave out many viable sources of climate information," says Heaton. "Furthermore, our work focuses on increases/decreases in temperatures, but similar analyses are needed to estimate consensus changes in other meteorological variables such as precipitation. Finally, we hope to expand our analysis from regional temperatures (say, over just a portion of the U.S.) to global temperatures."

<
'/>"/>
Contact: Karthika Muthukumaraswamy
karthika@siam.org
267-350-6383
Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
Source:Eurekalert  

Page: 1 2 3 4

Related biology news :

1. Neimark Award winners study statistics, chemistry, plant sciences, astrophysics and linguistics
2. An atlas of the human heart is drawn using statistics
3. Statistics & Data Corporation Selects MedNet Solutions As Strategic Technology Partner
4. Conatus Pharmaceuticals Appoints Mark F. Morris as Head of Biostatistics
5. Discovery by Baylor University researchers sheds new light on the habitat of early apes
6. Kessler Foundation researchers study impact of head movement on fMRI data
7. Chemical leak in W.Va. shows gaps in research, policy
8. Research of zebrafish neurons may lead to understanding of birth defects like spina bifida
9. Researchers propose a better way to make sense of Big Data
10. Research team establishes benchmark set of human genotypes for sequencing
11. Researchers shed new light on the genetic history of the European beaver
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
Related Image:
Statistics research could build consensus around climate predictions
(Date:7/31/2014)... identify and treat those with fibromuscular dysplasia (FMD). FMD ... arteries in the body, which can restrict blood flow to ... report appearing in August 2014 issue of The ... may not be limited to the arteries as currently believed. ... and joints, as well as evidence that inflammation may be ...
(Date:7/31/2014)... Rim Fire was in full fury, raging swiftly from ... the backcountry of Yosemite National Park in California,s Sierra ... the battle began to turn, enacting a case study ... to fuel large, severe fires. , "When the Rim ... fire had been used as a management tool, rather ...
(Date:7/31/2014)... Most people are familiar with Hibiscus flowers- they ... where they are commonly planted in the landscape. ... - are endangered species. , Only a relatively ... aware of an equally beautiful and intriguing related ... literally "brother of Hibiscus". , Brother of Hibiscus ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):Scientists discover biochemical mechanisms contributing to fibromuscular dysplasia 2The Rim Fire 1 year later: A natural experiment in fire ecology and management 2The Rim Fire 1 year later: A natural experiment in fire ecology and management 3The Rim Fire 1 year later: A natural experiment in fire ecology and management 4The Rim Fire 1 year later: A natural experiment in fire ecology and management 5Brother of Hibiscus is found alive and well on Maui 2
... researchers have devised a way to use a brief burst ... gold launch pad. The technique could someday be used to ... implanted in the body. The method also may be useful ... small quantities of a material. , The technique was described ...
... the Neanderthal genome, scientists suggest an early human-Neanderthal split. ... authors, but do not share much else after evolving ... issue of Science, also finds no evidence of genetic ... to explain the evolutionary relationship between Homo sapiens and ...
... DNA may not hold the key to your origins ... access journal BMC Biology reveals that fewer than 10% ... matched to mitochondrial DNA from one single African ethnic ... use of mitochondrial DNA to trace maternal ancestries, and ...
Cached Biology News:Electric jolt triggers release of biomolecules, nanoparticles 2Genetic study of Neanderthal DNA reveals early split between humans and Neanderthals 2Genetic study of Neanderthal DNA reveals early split between humans and Neanderthals 3
(Date:8/1/2014)... The  PROPEL Center  of the  iBIO Institute , dedicated ... life sciences companies in Illinois , ... help Illinois entrepreneurs attend ... Chicago .   AdvaMed 2014 is ... , bringing more than 1,000 companies together in ...
(Date:8/1/2014)... -- Cambrex Corporation (NYSE: CBM ) reports results ... Highlights , Second quarter sales increased 59% ... last year. , Second quarter EBITDA increased 86% to ... last year (see table at the end of this release). ... impact of foreign currency, to between 13% and 16% over ...
(Date:7/31/2014)... , July 31, 2014 Today BioSpace , the leading ... map campaign spotlighting the life sciences community in Illinois ... Kansas , Michigan , ... , Ohio and Wisconsin . ... 11 percent of all job postings on BioSpace originating in this region ...
(Date:7/31/2014)... at Johns Hopkins have mapped the sound-processing part of ... the proverbial forest and the trees in view. Their ... of brain activity within mice, and it enabled the ... "called" to each other. The results, which represent a ... language, appear online July 31 the journal Neuron ...
Breaking Biology Technology:iBIO Institute's PROPEL Center Awards Grants for AdvaMed 2014 to Early-Stage Life Sciences Companies 2iBIO Institute's PROPEL Center Awards Grants for AdvaMed 2014 to Early-Stage Life Sciences Companies 3iBIO Institute's PROPEL Center Awards Grants for AdvaMed 2014 to Early-Stage Life Sciences Companies 4Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 2Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 3Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 4Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 5Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 6Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 7Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 8Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 9Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 10Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 11Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 12Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 13Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 14Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 15Cambrex Reports Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results 16Midwest Biotech Leaders Featured On BioSpace Map 2New mapping approach lets scientists zoom in and out as the brain processes sound 2
... Dec. 12 An Ohio-based company has,successfully grown ... soybeans,with significantly lower levels of harmful radioactive carbon-14 ... with safer, low radiocarbon,LifeBlocks(TM) foods will suffer tens ... By reducing genetic damage, risks of cancer and ...
... Osteotech, Inc.,(Nasdaq: OSTE ), a leader in ... today that its Board of Directors has,authorized a stock ... common stock may be acquired. Stock repurchases may ... through open-market and privately,negotiated transactions in such amounts as ...
... RADNOR, Pa., Dec. 11 The following statement was issued today ... , , Notice is hereby given that ... for the Southern District of New York on behalf of purchasers of ... or the "Company") between May 21, 2007 and October 21, 2008, inclusive ...
Cached Biology Technology:World's First Low Radiocarbon Food May Reduce Risks of Cancer and Birth Defects, and Possibly Even Slow the Aging Process 2Osteotech Announces Stock Repurchase Program 2Shareholder Class Action Filed Against Elan Corporation, plc by the Law Firm of Barroway Topaz Kessler Meltzer & Check, LLP 2
... Polyclonal Antibody Description: ... polyclonal antibody. Detects 70 kDa YAP ... blotting and immunohistochemistry. ... Storage: -20C ...
Rabbit polyclonal to QKI...
Mouse polyclonal antibody to QPRT - quinolinate phosphoribosyltransferase (nicotinate-nucleotide pyrophosphorylase (carboxylating))...
... ammonium sulfate are compatible with thermostable enzymes ... and AmpliThem™™ DNA polymerases. You can significantly ... one experiment by adding your own enzyme, ... supplied with the kit. This capability is ...
Biology Products: