Navigation Links
Climate change may boost Middle East rainfall
Date:8/13/2008

The prospect of climate change sparking food and water shortages in the Middle East is less likely than previously thought, with new research by an Australian climate scientist suggesting that rainfall will be significantly higher in key parts of the region.

Recent projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) raised fears that storm activity in the eastern Mediterranean would decline this century if global warming continues on present trends. In turn, that would have reduced rainfall by between 15 and 25 per cent over a large part of the so-called Fertile Crescent.

This is land encompassing parts of Turkey, Syria, northern Iraq, and north-eastern Iran and the strategically important headwaters of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers.

When University of New South Wales Climate Change Research Centre researcher Dr Jason Evans analysed the IPPC projections, he found that the region's agricultural base faced significant challenges as a result. About 170,000 square kilometres of viable rain-fed agricultural land would be lost; a longer dry season would limit grazing on rangelands; and changes in the timing of maximum rainfall would force farmers in northern Iran to change cropping strategies and even crop types. The results are to be published in the journal Climatic Change.

But the IPCC projections were based on the results of global modelling of climate change, which tends to obscure smaller-scale regional effects.

"The global models are good for investigating what's likely to happen on a planetary scale but the resolution is quite coarse when looking at a more localised regional scale," says Dr Evans. "It's a bit like enlarging a digital photograph until it becomes pixellated and all sorts of detail is blurred out."

"Simulating the climate of the region is a challenge for climate models, due in part to the high natural inter-annual variability, the topography of the region - which includes multiple
'/>"/>

Contact: Bob Beale
bbeale@unsw.edu.au
61-249-303-440
University of New South Wales
Source:Eurekalert

Page: 1 2

Related biology news :

1. Southern Ocean seals dive deep for climate data
2. Carbon Disclosure Project, ICLEI partner to help US cities report local climate actions, emissions
3. Aphids are sentinels of climate change
4. Rare Antarctic fossils reveal extinction of tundra before full polar climate arrived
5. Climate change and species distributions
6. Carnegie Mellon Researcher says Chinas export trade impacts climate
7. Costs of climate change, state-by-state: Billions, says UMD
8. Study suggests past climate changes may have promoted the formation of new species in the Amazon
9. EPA releases report on climate change and health
10. Scattered nature of Wisconsins woodlands could complicate forests response to climate change
11. New study finds that some plants can adapt to widespread climate change
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
(Date:7/24/2014)... molecules, which have similar counterparts in humans, affect the ... nerve signals into the hippocampus, an area of the ... and the creation of memories. The results of the ... . , Brain function depends on the active communication ... neurons are woven together into a dense network where ...
(Date:7/24/2014)... For years, researchers and patients have hoped that ... type in the bodycould provide insight into numerous diseases ... has been hampered by the inability to transfer research ... counterparts, in part because human ESCs are "primed" and ... Thorold Theunissen, Benjamin Powell, and Haoyi Wang, who are ...
(Date:7/24/2014)... of researchers led by the University of York has ... in the Western Indian Ocean. , The results, ... to a revolution in the management of marine protected ... than 11,000 km in the region now under ... zones of the seas and coasts designed to protect ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):A protein couple controls flow of information into the brain's memory center 2A protein couple controls flow of information into the brain's memory center 3A protein couple controls flow of information into the brain's memory center 4Whitehead Institute researchers create 'naïve' pluripotent human embryonic stem cells 2Western Indian Ocean communities play vital role in conservation 2
... nation that stretches from coast to coast to coast. But ... climate change? Yves Glinas, associate professor in Concordia,s Department of ... element: iron. In a study published in Nature ... and graduate Alexandre Ouellet, as well as McGill colleague Alfonso ...
... 14, 2012 The latest episode in the American ... podcast series describes the development of a new test ... Amid concerns about the threat of terrorist attacks, ... and other nations. One such team has developed a ...
... March 14, 2012 UC Irvine researchers have discovered how ... that causes major gastrointestinal distress in humans, thrives in the ... it. Their findings help explain why Salmonella ... possible treatments. Most people infected with Salmonella suffer ...
Cached Biology News:Fielding questions about climate change 2New test could help track down and prosecute terrorists 2UCI-led study uncovers how Salmonella avoids the body's immune response 2
(Date:7/24/2014)... , July 24, 2014 Research and ... "Global Cell Culture Market 2014-2018" report to their ... Cell culture is the in vitro growth of ... research, cell studies, and biopharmaceutical production. Cell culture is ... Cell culture instruments and cell culture consumables are necessary ...
(Date:7/24/2014)... 24, 2014 SRI International has been awarded ... Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), part of ... of potential therapies for HIV infection and AIDS. The ... and AIDS and the complications and opportunistic infections associated ... sexual transmission of HIV. According to ...
(Date:7/24/2014)... 2014 Deep Research Report on Global ... and in-depth research report on Potassium Sulphate ... information, including its definition, classification, application, and industry ... the international market analysis, including China’s domestic market ... environment & economic situation analysis, the influence of ...
(Date:7/24/2014)... balances – 4 steps – One Recommendation: the web-based ... narrows down the mass of product choices to a ... , First, select the working environment, then enter the ... define the accuracy – it’s really that simple. Specifying ... to models that fit best with the customer’s industry ...
Breaking Biology Technology:Global Cell Culture Market 2014-2018: Key Vendors are Becton, Dickinson and Co, EMD, GE Healthcare, Lonza Group, Sigma Aldrich and Thermo Fisher Scientific 2National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Awards SRI International Contract to Study New Therapies for HIV and AIDS 2National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Awards SRI International Contract to Study New Therapies for HIV and AIDS 3Potassium Sulphate Market & SHMP Industry 2014 (Global, China) Analysis Now Available at DeepResearchReports.com 2Potassium Sulphate Market & SHMP Industry 2014 (Global, China) Analysis Now Available at DeepResearchReports.com 3Potassium Sulphate Market & SHMP Industry 2014 (Global, China) Analysis Now Available at DeepResearchReports.com 4
... Clarient, Inc.,(Nasdaq: CLRT ), a premier anatomic ... and the pharmaceutical industry,today announced that, effective June ... join Clarient as Senior Vice President and Chief,Financial ... experience as a public,company CFO in life sciences ...
... 28 Sequenom, Inc. (Nasdaq:,SQNM) today announced that a live audio ... investor briefing event,"Sequenom: The Future of Noninvasive Prenatal Diagnostics." Details of ... Sequenom: The Future of Noninvasive Prenatal Diagnostics, When: ... time, Where: http://www.sequenom.com , Agenda: ...
... 28 SoluLinK, Inc., a leader in,next-generation ... announce the,introduction of a new product, NanoLink(TM) ... highest biotin-binding,capacity of any commercially available polymer-encapsulated ... for high throughput robotic applications where high ...
Cached Biology Technology:Clarient Names Raymond J. Land Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 2Clarient Names Raymond J. Land Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 3Clarient Names Raymond J. Land Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 4Clarient Names Raymond J. Land Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 5Sequenom to Webcast Analyst and Investor Briefing Presentation on June 3 2SoluLinK Introduces NanoLink(TM) Streptavidin Magnetic Microspheres 2