Navigation Links
Are current projections of climate change-impacts on biodiversity misleading?
Date:11/21/2007

first comparative test capable of differentiating between the contribution of contemporary and historical climate drivers of diversity gradients across a complete lineage of species at a continental scale.

In recent years, analytical attempts to shed light on the role of history in determining todays patterns of species richness have focused on the strong residual variation of models using contemporary climate, explains Dr. Carsten Rahbek from the Center of Macroecology at the University of Copenhagen. It has been argued that these residuals provide information about the role of historical rather than contemporary constraints. However, such an analytical approach assumes that contemporary climate is the main explanatory force. In other words, the contemporary and historical hypotheses are not tested simultaneously in a directly comparable manner, and historical hypotheses are only invoked to explain what is left to elucidate after the implementation of contemporary environmental processes, says Dr. Rahbek.

Our results are striking in that they contradict previous studies of large-scale patterns of species richness affirms Dr. Rahbek. They provide the first evidence, using a quantitative analytical approach, that historic climate can contribute to current patterns of richness independently of, and at least as much as contemporary climate. This study has profound implications for the study of diversity on Earth, and challenges the current view that patterns of contemporary climate are sufficient to explain and predict diversity.

Differentiating between contemporary and historical hypotheses is important, not only for theoretical reasons: an understanding of the mechanisms that generate and maintain diversity provides valuable insights for predicting the impacts of contemporary climate changes on biodiversity, says Dr. Arajo. If contemporary climate does drive species richness, then current climate variables could be used to accurately pr
'/>"/>

Contact: Davina Quarterman
davina.quarterman@oxon.blackwellpublishing.com
01-865-476-307
Wiley-Blackwell
Source:Eurekalert

Page: 1 2 3

Related biology news :

1. Fossil data plugs gaps in current knowledge, study shows
2. Climate change goes underground
3. Opportunity for students displaced by Katrina to assess climate vulnerability of Southeast US
4. Climate -- no smoking gun for Neanderthals
5. NASA celebrates a decade observing climate impacts on health of worlds oceans
6. NASA celebrates a decade observing climate impacts on health of worlds oceans
7. University and state agencies to forecast local health effects of climate change
8. A greenhouse in order to study the impact of climate change on plants
9. European lead in reading past climates from ice cores
10. International team of scientists warns of climate changes impact on global river flow
11. Heaps of climate gas
Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):New York autopsies show 2009 H1N1 influenza virus damages entire airway 2New York autopsies show 2009 H1N1 influenza virus damages entire airway 3AACR names Perou 2009 Outstanding Investigator for Breast Cancer Research 2New understanding of how to prevent destruction of a tumor suppressor 2Video 3A AstraZeneca Traveling Exhibit Helps Americans Understand and Manage Bipolar Depression 55498 1Video 3A AstraZeneca Traveling Exhibit Helps Americans Understand and Manage Bipolar Depression 55498 2Video 3A AstraZeneca Traveling Exhibit Helps Americans Understand and Manage Bipolar Depression 55498 3Video 3A AstraZeneca Traveling Exhibit Helps Americans Understand and Manage Bipolar Depression 55498 4Video 3A AstraZeneca Traveling Exhibit Helps Americans Understand and Manage Bipolar Depression 55498 5Mindray Medical to Present at the Credit Lyonnais Securities Asia Investors Forum 55495 1Mindray Medical to Present at the Credit Lyonnais Securities Asia Investors Forum 55495 210 Big Brothers Big Sisters Agencies to Receive 2009 Annie E Casey Family Strengthening Award 55492 110 Big Brothers Big Sisters Agencies to Receive 2009 Annie E Casey Family Strengthening Award 55492 210 Big Brothers Big Sisters Agencies to Receive 2009 Annie E Casey Family Strengthening Award 55492 3