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AGU journal highlights -- June 23, 2011
Date:6/23/2011

hurricane seasons using only information that would have been available to forecasters at the time. The authors' predictions for North Atlantic hurricane activity are able to account for 92 percent of the observed variability between seasons. Further, they are able to predict the onset of the MJO, an intraseasonal surge in rainfall that spawned in the Indian Ocean. Perhaps most important, the researchers accurately predict both a prominent decrease in hurricane activity between the 2005 and 2006 seasons and a sharp spike between 2009 and 2010. The researchers note that HiRAM is currently limited only by the strength of modeling computers, suggesting that the predictions will continue to improve as computer processors grow in power.

Source: Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2011GL047629, 2011
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047629

Title: The remarkable predictability of inter-annual variability of Atlantic hurricanes during the past decade

Authors: Jan-Huey Chen: Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA; and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Princeton, New Jersey, USA;

Shian-Jiann Lin: Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.


7. Theorized magnetic plasma behavior demonstrated in lab

Theoretical calculations have indicated that in magnetized plasmas with two ion species, Alfvn waves, oscillations of the magnetic field due to plasma currents, can become trapped in a resonator. Now such a resonator has been demonstrated for the first time in a laboratory. Vincena et al. created the resonator in a magnetized plasma with hydrogen and helium ions. Their observations agree well with theoretical predictions. Similar resonators could occur in the m
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Contact: Peter Weiss
pweiss@agu.org
202-777-7507
American Geophysical Union
Source:Eurekalert

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