General circulation models (GCMs), the primary tool for estimating the magnitude of future climate change, rely on realistic inputs to generate accurate predictions. New studies have revealed that over the past 60 years, the continents absorbed an amount of heat comparable to that absorbed by the whole atmosphere during the same time interval. However, bottom boundary conditions in soil components of GCMs, particularly those used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, only extend 10 meters (33 feet) below ground, perhaps leading to underestimations of continental heat absorption. To better estimate this, MacDougall et al. calculate the subsurface heat content from two future climate simulations and compare the results with those obtained from running a separate model of soil heat content. They find that if boundary conditions for the soil extend down to 600 meters (1970 feet), then the subsurface can absorb 6 times more heat than if the soil boundary conditions were at 10 meters (33 feet). This suggests that current models underestimate the heat stored by the ground, particularly for the northern high latitudes.
Title:
Quantification of subsurface heat storage in a GCM simulation
Authors:
Andrew H. MacDougall, M. Bruce Stevens, and Hugo Beltrami: Environmental Sciences Research Centre, St. Francis Xavier University, Antigonish, Nova Scotia, Canada;
J. Fidel Gonzlez-Rouco: Departamento de Astrofsica y Ciencias de al Atmsfera, Universitas Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain.
Source:
Geophysical Research Letters (GRL) paper 10.1029/2008GL034639, 2008; http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2008GL034639
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